Jacksonville has quietly been the best ATS team in college hoops, they are currently 17-4 ATS on the season including covering six straight games in conference. Jacksonville is coming off of a huge victory of ASUN leader Liberty, putting them right into contention for the top of the conference. The Dolphins dominate on the defensive end giving up just 59 ppg, allowing teams to shoot just 47% on the season. When Jacksonville needs offense they turn to Kevion Nolan, the redshirt junior that averages 14 ppg.
The Hatters have not had a great season, they are at the bottom of the ASUN with a 11-14 overall record, they are however 4-1 ATS in their last five. The question will be, how does Stetson score against the Jacksonville defense? The Hatters 70 ppg on the season, while shooting just 42.4% from the field. They are the 304th ranked team in offensive efficiency, in their previous matchup with Jacksonville the Hatters were only able to put up 50 points, losing by 7. Jacksonville covered the four point spread in that game and should be able to do the same in their second meeting.
Both of these teams can struggle to score. Jacksonville has a major advantage on the boards and they are much better at shooting the three, if this game is close down the stretch they also have an advantage from the charity stripe. Stetson is one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country (Jacksonville isn’t much better). In the end it will be the team with the better upside on the offensive end that wins this game and that is the Dolphins.
Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins -2