Oct 7 MLB Draftkings – Don’t Overthink Things

Ian Anderson, Atlanta Braves

Anderson has had a 30% strikeout rate in 2020 and is coming off of his best start of the season against the Cincinnati Reds, putting up 33 fantasy points.  The Marlins are weaker against righties, with a lower ISO, wOBA, and higher K% (22%). Anderson gives up very little power.  During the 2020 campaign he gave up just 4.5% per nine innings.  Anderson is pricey but with the playoff baseball pricing he is a great choice and arguably an SP1.

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers

The Padres were held in check last night by the combination of Walker Buehler and Dustin May. Clayton Kershaw takes the mound in game two, looking to give the Dodgers a dominating 2-0 lead and his matchup is ideal for the situation. 

The Padres have a 26% strikeout rate against lefties and a combined ISO nearly 100 points lower.  Kershaw’s career numbers versus Padres hitters are favorable, only Manny Machado has multiple homers (2), as a team they have just a .236 BA in 131 career at-bats. The Padres are a heavy right-handed lineup that plays well into Kershaw’s 2020 numbers thus far as he has been a reverse split pitcher.  

Hitters to target- Ride the hot bats

Giancarlo Stanton, New York Yankees

Stanton has been smashing the baseball over the last four games.  Draftkings has not caught up with it.  He is just $4.4K and will be right in the middle of a lineup and game total that is completely stackable. Stanton has five homers in his last 4 games and has success in his career against Charlie Morton.  

Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays’

Randy Arozarena is another example of Draftkings refusing to update the trends of the playoffs.  The former Cardinal prospect has jumped into the 3 spot in the Rays lineup and exceeded expectations while not seeing his price rise above $3.6K.  Randy does everything Draftkings rewards, stealing bases and hitting homers. You can hit value without hitting bombs.  

Travis d’Arnaud, Atlanta Braves 

d’Arnaud is in a great spot against a player he has smashed in his career, Pablo Lopez. The Braves catcher is coming off a great game 1 of the NLDS, where he went 3 for 3 with a homer and two walks. His two walks, along with his homer show his great plate vision.  The Braves are one of my favorite plays on the slate and ignoring the cleanup hitter would be pretty stupid. 

Sample Lineup (Draftkings)

C: Travis d’Arnaud, Atlanta Braves

1B: Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves

2B: DJ LeMahieu, New York Yankees

3B: Alex Bregman, Houston Astros

SS: Carlos Correa, Houston Astros

OF: Aaron Hicks, New York Yankees

OF: Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays

OF: Giancarlo Stanton, New York Yankees

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