MLB DFS Lineup June 25

P: Nester Cortes Jr, New York Yankees ($4,000)

Cortes Jr. is a wild card on this slate.  The Yankees bullpen was forced to over work themselves thanks to the late inning comeback by the Toronto Blue Jays.  Cortes Jr. will be looked to eat up innings against a team that is in the bottom five of strikeout percentage by a team. 

P: Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants ($8,200)

Bumgarner is a bargain at 8.2k.  A matchup with the Rockies seems like trouble but the Rockies lineup is missing two right-handed bats.  Ian Desmond and Trevor Story will both most likely miss this game.  The Rockies also have a 24% strikeout rate during the 2019 season.  Playing in San Francisco is also a huge ballpark downgrade for the Rockies offense.

C: Pedro Severino, Baltimore Orioles ($3,700)

Severino is one of my favorite plays against lefties.  Batting cleanup against lefties Severino has shown great power this season with a .609 slugging percentage and .281 ISO.   

1B: Dan Vogelbach, Seattle Mariners ($4,900)

Vogelbach brings a lot of power against a pitcher that gives up a lot power especially to lefties.  Brewers starter Zach Davies gives up a .497 slugging percentage to left handers as well as been struggling all June.  Vogelbach will most likely go low owned tonight due to the potential Yankees stack. 

2B: DJ LeMahieu, New York Yankees

I am jumping on the Yankees stack train tonight and DJ LaMahieu is where I am getting started.  DJ has been hitting everyone all season and with the lineup so stacked up you can all but guarantee that LeMahieu will at least give you runs scored.

3B: Manny Machado, San Diego Padres ($5,500)

Machado returning to Baltimore will not be the same as the recent reunion we saw with Albert Pujols returning to St. Louis, but it should still have an emotional effect for Machado. It doesn’t hurt that Machado is red hot coming into this matchup.  Ten straight games Machado has reached double digits in fantasy points, he will continue that tonight.

SS: Gleyber Torres, New York Yankees ($5,300)

Torres is a continuation of my mini-Yankees stack.  Torres brings power and speed to your lineup.  He does have surprisingly rough numbers versus lefties but that doesn’t worry me heading into a matchup with Clayton Richard.

OF: Giancarlo Stanton, New York Yankees ($4,600)

Stanton hit a dinger last night.  He is facing a lefty tonight.  He will have huge ownership, if you want to be different then don’t play Stanton.  I don’t want to be different here.

OF: Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies ($4,500)

Still being priced down thanks to his slow start, Bryce Harper brings a lot of value to your lineup at just 4.5K.  The Phillies finally came to their sense and moved Harper out of the lead-of spot back into a productive role in the middle of the order. 

OF: Dominic Smith, New York Mets ($4,000)

Long time top prospect Dominic Smith is finally getting some at bats while playing the outfield for the Mets.  Smith bring a lot of power to the plate.  Check to make sure he is in the lineup, if he is, he is a bargain.

Breaking down the AD Trade

The deal is finally done.  Anthony Davis finally got his wish, the six-time All-Star was traded to Los Angeles over the weekend finalizing a saga that started last season.  Davis’s wish to move on from New Orleans

Obvious winners:  Lebron James – Anthony Davis

Lebron James went from best player in the world to aging star in a two-month span during last season.  James was tasked with mentoring a group of talented unproven players.  Entering his 15th NBA season James did not have the energy to overcome the deficiencies of his team and the relative inexperience of the coaching staff.  Lebron has reached a point in his career where he can’t develop the talent, he needs established players that agree with their role on the team.  Now that he has a running mate with the same skills that he possesses, the Lakers will now just have to fill in the gaps of their roster with affordable role players.

Anthony Davis got what he wanted, moved to a franchise that will allow him to build his brand.  Davis sees himself as the future of the NBA, playing alongside the NBA’s best promoter in Lebron James as well as the center of the basketball universe LA is right where he wants to be.

No-so obvious winner:  Zion Williamson

Most would assume that Zion losing a potential All-NBA player from his potential new destination would be a bad thing. With the loss of Davis there will be no immediate team expectations.  Zion will be able to come into the league and not have the weight of immediate success on his back.  The Pelicans will now be able to build completely around their future #1 pick.  The Pelicans already transitioned to a run and gun team last season averaging the second fastest pace of play in the league, with the addition of Lonzo Ball and Williamson, Alvin Gentry should continue his upbeat play. Williamson will have a chance to excel in this situation.

Losers: Boston Celtics

Danny Ainge has done his best to rebuild the Celtics by accruing assets over the past few years.  They have yet to bring in the star that will bring the championship back to Bean Town.  Kyrie Irving was supposed to be the missing piece to the championship puzzle but he was unable to mesh with the young talent of the Celtics.  While Kyrie was the appetizer for the Celtics the main course was supposed to a be a player that Ainge could bring in to be the long term future star.  Anthony Davis seemed like the perfect fit for the organization, unfortunately Davis was added to the list of stars that seem to have no interest in playing in Boston. With Davis off of the table and Kyrie out the front door what do the Celtics do now???

Final Thoughts

Anthony Davis got what he wanted.  Good for him.  Hopefully he and Lebron mesh because it would be fun to watch.

The Pelicans got themselves the talent they need to build around.  With the #4 pick they can add a player like Darius Garland to help on the perimeter or Jarrett Culver to help on the defensive end.  If all of my personal dreams come true New Orleans could have RJ Barrett fall to them at put together a Dukes dynamic duo to build a future juggernaut. 

Both the organizations did well in this trade.  But as the old saying goes, the team that got the best player wins the trade and the Lakers undoubtable got the best player.

Draftkings Lineup June 8 (Early Slate

Going to keep this one pretty quick as the targets seem pretty obvious on the offensive end.  favorable matchups that can be exploited today.  Good Luck.

P: Kyle Gibson, Minnesota Twins, $9,700

Targeting a starter versus the Detroit Tigers is an obvious choice.  The Tigers have a number of career at bats against the Twins hurler but a combined .200 average as well as an OPS barely above .600 makes him an easy target for your number 1 pitcher option.

P: Framber Valdez, Houston Astros, $7,400

Framber Valdez will make his first start of 2019, building off of a great four innings of relief against the Seattle Mariners.  There is some risk to starting a lefty versus the right handed power of Baltimore but Valdez has strikeout upside and high probability to get four points for the W.

C: Grayson Greiner, Detroit Tigers, $2,300

1B: CJ Cron, Minnesota Twins, $4,400

Cron crushes lefties.  Gregory Soto has not been impressive to start the season for Detroit.  Looking at a mini stack of the Twins, starting with Gibson pitching and power right -handed bats.

2B: Jonathon Schoop, Minnesota Twins, $4,200

Twins stack continues with a potential power bat in Schoop.  Schoop can provide a little speed as well.

3B: Matt Chapman, Oakland Athletics, $5,100

A’s Stack

SS: Marcus Semien, Oakland Athletics, $4,200

A’s stack

OF: Stephen Piscotty, Oakland Athletics, $4,300

A’s Stack

OF: Nelson Cruz, Minnesota Twins, $4,200

Nelson Cruz will homer today if he gets four at-bats

OF: Khris Davis, Oakland Athletics, $4,200

A’s Stack

Stackable teams:

Houston Astros, Oakland A’s, Minnesota Twins

Anyone Notice Dakota Hudson?

The Cardinals had very few bright spots over the month of May.  One that has gone under the radar was the development of Dakota Hudson.  Hudson quietly established himself as the benchmark of consistency while covering for the struggles of other higher touted staff members.  It’s time to notice that Hudson is stepping up in a time when the team needs him the most.

Entering May the Cardinals were on a roll but Hudson was seen as a likely candidate to be put on the bus back to Memphis. There wasn’t much of an argument to keep Hudson in the rotation over the first month and a half of the season.  In the months of March/April Hudson gave up a slash line of .327/.400/.594.  Hudson had become a punching bag for opposing offenses because he was not pitching to his strengths.  Hudson was averaging 7.13 K/9 rate going along with a 55.4% ground ball rate.  For him to be effective Dakota has to utilize what works for him by limiting hard contact and raising his ground ball percentages. 

Hudson has rediscovered what makes him effective in May.  Utilizing his sinker has seen his groundball rate raise by 10% in the month while limiting what was essentially his doom.  Hudson has given up just one homer in his last seven starts, his ability to keep the ball down limiting the hard contact rate has made him a huge asset to the pitching staff.  The reduction in his FIP is the most noticeable statistic showing a decrease from the astronomical 7.52 in March/April to 3.49 in May.  Six of seven starts Hudson has went at least six innings giving up over two runs just one time, while giving up just no more than five hits over his last four starts. Finding his strength has meant a reduction in strikeouts per nine to 5.86, but that reduction has allowed him thrive on his strengths.

Lefties are still a problem for the young Cardinals hurler, giving up an wOBA of .420 during the 2019 season. Building off of his most recent start where he was able to hold down a left-handed heavy Reds middle of the order featuring Joey Votto, Derek Dietrich and Jesse Winker. This could be a sign of things to come as he has had a bit of bad luck against lefties with a BABIP of .367.  His overall hard hit percentage has decreased by 3% in the month of May,  with continued regression in this statistic Hudson can find himself improving his numbers against left handed hitters. 

St. Louis is much maligned for not making moves to try and bolster their rotation and/or bullpen.  Passing on Closer Craig Kimbrel and Starter Dallas Keuchel has St. Louis fans wondering whether John Mozeliak is really committed to winning in 2019.  While Mo has made questionable decisions, his steadfast commitment to stick with developed players has not always been a terrible decision.  When others were giving up on Hudson the Cardinals stuck with him and it is paying off with quality start after quality start.