NFL Picks ATS Week 12

Didn’t have time to Podcast my picks this week so here they are.  Picks will be bolded. Season Record 87-67.

Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions

Trubisky injury worries me.  The Kerryon Johnson injury worries me even more for Detroit.  The Lions were finally establishing a run game, they will now have to focus on the passing game which will be tough against the Bears pass rush.  Mack dominates and so do the Bears.

Washington Redskins +7.5 at Dallas Cowboys

The Redskins were not going to win this game because of Alex Smith.  Colt McCoy knows Jay Gruden’s system and the Redskins are to tough to get blown out be an offense that at times does not seem to understand that Zeke is the man. May even look at the ML.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints -13

Saints are the hottest team in the league, getting a dream matchup versus a struggling Falcons defense.  Kamara and Ingram will feast on turkey day.  13 points is a lot but this Saints team is continually trying to make a statement that they are the best in the NFC and a demolition on national TV is the perfect time to do it.

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 at Buffalo Bills

The Jaguars have to win this game and they have to crush a lesser team.  The Jags showed in the first half last week what this team was supposed to look like.  They will not have Big Ben on the other side to pull off a late comeback.  The Bills are tough but they don’t have the offense to put up anything against Jacksonville.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals -3

Bengals are desperate for a win.  They will not allow a rookie QB to beat them two weeks in row.  Bengals come out and dominate.  I like what the Browns have been doing with Nick Chubb and the reemergence of Duke Johnson but the Bengals are still a better team and they should prevail at home by at least a touchdown.

New England Patriots -10.5 at New York Jets

Jets may not have Darnold and they just got destroyed by the Buffalo Bills.  The Pats are also off a buy.  Should be fully healthy.  Thats all that needs to be said on this one.

New York Giants +7 at Philadelphia Eagles

The Giants have killed me this season.  The Eagles though enter this game with basically a practice squad secondary.  Look for Barkley and Beckham to dominate the Eagles secondary.  I have little hope for Eli to be dominate but this team is to strong offensively to ignore.  The Eagles can win this game but I think seven points is to much in a division game.

San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

The Buc’s need to move on from Jameis but for now they are rollin with him.  The 49ers have a lot of heart and play hard but this Buccaneers team has to many weapons for the 49ers to hold them down.  The 49ers will not be able to keep up.  Bet Bucs and collect your money.

Seattle Seahawks +3 at Carolina Panthers

This game should be very fun to watch.  Two underrated QB’s in Cam Newton and Russell Wilson will battled for their playoff lives.  The Panthers have been a thorn in my side while making these picks while Seattle has been a great pick for me all year.  Seattle is underrated and will prove it on Sunday.  I like Seattle to win this game by at least a touchdown.

Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens -12

The Ravens enter this game with a question mark at QB.  Either Lamar Jackson or Joe Flacco will lead them to the promise land though.  The Raiders showed life last week but that was against a Cardinals team that didn’t have much to play for.  The Ravens need this win and will get it by 14 easily.

Arizona Cardinals +13.5 at Los Angeles Chargers

I know the Cardinals lost to the Raiders last week but they have done a much better job of utilizing their best weapon David Johnson since Byron Leftwich took over play calling duties. The Cardinals will run the ball and keep Philip Rivers and Melvin Gordon on the sideline.  Chargers will pull out the victory but a late touchdown in garbage time will kill the cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 at Denver Broncos

Steelers are quietly one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning 7 straight games. The Broncos love to cover spreads, just ask the Rams and the Chargers.  The Steelers though don’t need much to put up a lot of points.  Steelers with utilize their great offensive talent to jump out to an early lead.

Pittsburgh has been getting great pressure on the opposing QB’s leading the league in sacks right now. Case Keenum is going to have a long day.

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts -10

The announcement that Ryan Tannahill will play immediately took half a point off this spread.  That won’t make a difference against a Colts team that has figured out how to block for their star QB Anrew Luck.  After the beating the Colts gave the Dolphins, I don’t see any way that Miami sticks with them.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings -3

Its really hard to bet on Kirk Cousins over Aaron Rodgers.  It is however easy to bet against Mike McCarthy.  Two teams that both need wins, I am going with the home team. That is literally the only thing I can say about this game.

Tennesee Titans at Houston Texans Pick’em

Titans don’t know who their starting QB will be on Monday night.  Don’t really care, Houston will win at home.

Thanks for reading and Good Luck

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