NCAAF Picks- Week 8

Last week could have been a disaster, but a push and a big upset from LSU helped us save face a bit.  This week a lot of big favorites that will make it tough for most cappers.  Lets get into this weeks picks. Record 11-13.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers, 67

When you have a rough week you have to switch things up.  Instead of a pick against the spread I am going to start with an over. Purdue enters this game winning three straight while putting up a few nice totals 30, 42 and 36. Much of the turnaround can be attributed to the play of quarterback David Blough, who has averaged nearly 400 passing yards per game since winning the starting job in Week 3.While their competition was not of the highest caliber the Boilmakers have still shown that they have some offensive ability.

Ohio State is will put up points over their own on the ground with JK Dobbins. I look for the Buckeyes to jump out to a big lead in the first quarter and play loose on the defensive end leading to major points.

PicksOver 67

Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars -2.5

Oregon has established themselves as a force in the Pac 12 sitting at 5-1 with back to back wins over Washington and California.  They share the best record in the conference with their competition on Saturday the Washington State Cougars.

Washington State playing at home will look to jump out to an early lead and they have the ability to do so. The Cougars average the 11th-most first-half points vs FBS foes in the nation, having put up 22 points per contest before the break. Taking an early lead can be a killer for an Oregon team that has had some tough history against the Pac 12 on the road. The Ducks had scored just 24 combined points in their previous three Pac-12 road contests.

This game is a rivalry game but I am riding the hot betting streak.  Washington State is 6-0 this season against the spread.  The Cougars are at home that’s why I give them the tilt in this one.

PicksWashington State -2.5

Cincinnati Bearcats at Temple Owls -3.5

The Bearcats are 6-0 for the first time in six years as they head into a matchup with fellow AAC conference foe Temple Owls.  Cincinnati’s unbeaten streak will be at risk against their first real competition of the season.  Cincinnati has allowed 24 points in its three road games and is giving up 13.7 points on the season, ranking third among FBS squads.

Cincinnati also has multiple receiver threats, six different Bearcats have accumulated between 10-21 receptions with Josiah Deguara leading the team in both categories (21 catches, 296 yards).

PicksCincinnati Bearcats +3.5

Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs -8

Oklahoma enters this game coming off a bye followed by a bye week.  The Sooners have had ample time to prepare for a TCU team that 3 of 4 including a 17-14 surprise loss to Texas Tech.

The Sooners are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games coming off a bye week with an average winning margin of 19. A rested Kyler Murray will lead an unstoppable Oklahoma offense that despite the loss put up points against a highly ranked Texas defense.  Murray still has a heisman on his mind and I expect him to put himself right back in the discussion after a thrashing of the Horned Frogs.

Oklahoma is 17-0 SU in its last 17 road games with an average winning margin of 21.06.

PicksOklahoma -8

Memphis Tigers at Missouri Tigers -10

Mizzou has lost three straight after starting the season with three straight wins.  Mizzou has had issues holding down good offenses giving up an average of 39 points over the last four games.

The Memphis offense features the NCAA’s top runningback Darrell Henderson, averaging 10.3 yards per carry.  Look for Memphis to pound the defensive front of Missouri which will open up the passing game for Quarterback Brady White. While this will be Memphis’s first game against a true FBS team they had a nice warm up against an elite player in Mackenzie Milton.

Drew lock will show up like he always does and throw for 300 yards, but the loss of top receiver Emanual Hall will make pressure situations tougher for the Mizzou offense.  On paper Mizzou has more talent, home field advantage and an elite Quarterback, but they have not shown the ability to cover.  Look for Mizzou to win but ten points seems like to much.

PicksMemphis +10

 

Other Picks:

Michigan State/ Michigan over 40

Clemson -17.5

Alabama vs. Tennessee over 57

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