Weekly Picks: Texas with the Upset

PicksWeek four of out picks against the spread was a bit disappointing.  We had our first losing week of picks as we went 2-3-1.  At I Talk Sports and That’s It we don’t lose gracefully we are very upset and plan on taking it out on this weeks games.  We are shooting for a big money weekend, our total record right now is 14-10-1!

 *all spread from sportsbook.com

College Football

Missouri -9.5 at Vandy, over/under 67

68, 52, 45, 50 those are the the totals that Mizzou basketball has put up the last four games, wait sorry those are actually the football teams scores. Mizzou is hot and the SEC bottom half is trash.  Vandy has lost 7 of their last 8 games overall with the only win coming against Western Kentucky.  Mizzou has all the confidence in the world right now and Barry Odom is still coaching for his job while QB Drew Lock is moving up draft boards. Mizzou has shown that they will not let up on the throttle. Mizzou is red hot and we are beginning to buy it.

PicksPick: Mizzou -9.5

Mississippi State -12.5 at Arkansas  , over/under 59

Glory days are behind Arkansas.  Mississippi State is on the rise giving Alabama their closest games of the year.  Mississippi State is also 7-3 against the spread.  Arkansas QB Austin Allen is coming off a shoulder injury and they aren’t sure what they are going to get out of him.  Mississippi State is going to run the ball and control the game. No let down here for Mississippi State.  Look for Mississippi State to reach 200 yards rushing.

PicksPick: Mississippi State -12.5

University of Central Florida -14 vs. Temple , over/under 56

One of the few remaining undefeated teams left in college football UCF heads into Temple on Saturday with hopes of taking the next step towards the College Football Playoff. Those dreams are just a dream as no matter what they do they won’t make it to the playoff.  UCF’s online chance to make any noise is to blowout teams.  If Temple had any kind of defense I would give them a shot but they have not shown the ability to stop anyone.  UCF averages over 48 points a game and averaging 327 yards through the air.  Temple is giving up over 26.50 points a game this season, good luck against this offense Temple.

PicksPick: UCF -14

NFL

Detroit Lions -3 at Chicago Bears , over/under 41

The Lions are a tough team to understand this year.  Their commitment to develop a run game is not what is best suited for a team with the highest paid QB in football.  Let Matt Stafford do his thing and the results will show.  This is a hot bet right now on most sights including Bovada and Covers with the Lions receiving 70% of the bets.  The Bears run game always gives them a chance to dominate a game but the defense is to reliant on turnovers.  Stafford will play conservative and feed short routes to Golden Tate and The Riddick.  Bears will get a 100 yard performance from Jordan Howard and keep it close, but ultimately Mitchell Trubisky will be put in a situation to make and play and will come up short.  We see the lions by a touchdown.

PicksPick: Lions -3 

Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 at New York Giants, over/under 46

The Giants misery season continues as they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday.  The Chiefs have lost 3 of 4 and are in need of a win.  The Giants can’t sink much lower after losing last week to CJ “Beat” Hard and the lackluster 49ers.  Kareem Hunt is due for a big game and the Giants are the team that is giving it up.  Giants defense has given up almost 140 yards rushing per game and will most likely barely make it on the field.  Chiefs will cover Eli’s only weapon Evan Engram all game and make Eli’s life hell.  Chiefs want it more and will take it by two touchdowns at least.

PicksPick: Chiefs -10.5

James’s “Why Not” Pick of the Week 2-2: Texas vs. West Virginia

The 49ers gave me my second win in the “Why Not” picks of the week.  I am going back to college on this one.  After much debate and deliberation give me the Texas Longhorns to not only cover the 3.5 points at West Virginia but to win the game.  Texas has the talent and needs this win.  I think we see an inspired performance on Saturday. The Longhorns could get a big boost with All-American OT Connor Williams looking like he’s on track to return from a knee injury that’s kept him sidelined since the third game of the season. If Williams plays Texas sticks with freshman Sam Ehlinger for most of the game and pulls it out.

Why Not pick of the week: Texas +3.5

Good luck on your bets this week and remember if you aren’t down a paycheck you can still bet.

 

Giancarlo Stanton: The Backup Plan

As we head towards the Major League Baseball Winter meetings there is a clear questions in the minds of every fan, writer and team. Where is Stanton going to go? With all of the power of this decision ultimately on the shoulders of Stanton himself, all the organizations trying to get him have to be ready to face the truth.  Why would anyone really want to leave Miami?  What if he decides he wants to be a Miami lifer?  Where do these teams go next?  Lets break it down for you.

St. Louis Cardinals

Problem: The Cardinals by all reports are the frontrunner in the Stanton sweepstakes.  They have the money and the resources to make it happen.  Problem is, Stanton is a coast guy.  Born in California, has been living in Miami his whole career.  With the Cardinals clear need for power and presence in the middle of their order they have to have a plan in place.

Solution: Eric Hosmer, while Hosmer doesn’t provide the 40 homer potential of Stanton but he does provide the presence in the middle of the order.  The Silver Slugger winner will allow players like Paul Dejong and Jedd Gyorko to move into lineup spots that better fit their attributes.  With St. Louis’s depth in the outfield as well as young arms they can also make a move to beef up the rotation and bullpen or make the smart move and go sign Juan Nicasio and Jason Vargas.  They can also pray for a resurrection of Stephon Piscotty.  St. Louis fans want Stanton, he would be the first real impact bat acquired by the front office since they resigned Matt Holiday back in 2010.  If they really think they need more thump.  The Cards could also take a flyer on a couple of vets for low cost (Jose Bautista or Carlos Gonzalez )

San Francisco Giants

Problem: Bottom five farm system. The Marlins seem set to move on from the money owed to Stanton.  But can how can an organization already struggling with fan attendance possibly let their biggest asset leave and getting nothing of value for him.

Solution: Trade Christian Arroyo to Blue Jays, Sign JD Martinez.  The Giants were last in the league in homers in 2017.  Bringing back Pablo Sandoval is not the answer. JD Martinez is the only answer that makes sense for the Giants.  They can put him in Left Field and problem area that they seem to never be able to fill.  That punch in the middle will create great protection for Buster Posey.  Next they should look to see the value of their one trade chip top prospect Christian Arroyo.  Call up the Blue Jays and offer Arroyo and two other prospects for slugger Josh Donaldson.  With the Blue Jays need for depth pretty much everywhere they may bite.  A lineup featuring Posey, Donaldson and JD Martinez makes you an immediate contender.

Boston Red Sox

Problem: Doesn’t really fill their need for a first baseman. Do they really need another contract that size on the books?  If the Red Sox make the move work for Stanton they would be taking on a lot of money.  I can understand their hesitation as their last few big contracts haven’t worked out that well thus far (Sandoval, Price).

Solution:  If the Red Sox can’t make the Stanton deal work then they should go fill the need that is most pressing for them.  Making his second appearance on the board is Eric Hosmer.  Hosmer in Boston makes all the sense in the world.  The move would allow a sometimes lets say spacey defender such as Hanley Ramirez to stay at DH and gives them a bat to put right in the middle of the order.  If Boston still sees a need in the outfield for a power bat they have the resources to make that work.  Top prospect Bobby Dalbec is currently blocked by even better prospect Rafael Devers.  Call up a team always hungry to dump players like Oakland and check on the availability of Khris Davis. Dalbec and Jackie Bradley Jr. for Khris Davis would make a lot of sense for both teams.  Davis would provide some serious power in the lineup behind Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi. I Theses plans fail a logical choice would also be an underrated star in Carlos Santana, the price tag would be much more favorable.

No matter what happens the decision made by Stanton and the Marlins will impact the entire baseball world.  Per usual the MLB offseason is going to be fun unless you are a Marlins fan.

 

 

Weekly Picks Nov 9 2017

Week three of out picks against the spread kept us winning as we went 4-2 with out losses coming from the Thursday night game as well as my hatred for Mizzou causing us a lose.  But we still had a good week.  We are shooting for a big money weekend and with some exciting matchups in both the NFL and college football we are looking to keep winning, our total record right now is 12-7!

 *all spread from sportsbook.com

College Football

North Carolina State -3 at Boston College, over/under 58

Boston College has won 3 games in a row in convincing fashion. North Carolina State has lost two games in a row to top ranked teams.  Boston College can run the ball but so can NC State.  Boston College will keep this close but ball control for NC State and a ferocious defensive line will cause trouble for Boston College all day.  We see NC State by at least a touchdown.

PicksPick: North Carolina State -3

Florida at South Carolina -7 , over/under 45.5

Florida is a dumpster fire on offense right now. They travel to South Carolina on Saturday, a South Carolina team that is 5-2-2 ATS this season. With Florida’s inability to score and interim head coach that doesn’t seem to care much about winning. Florida’s four straight losses will be five after Saturday. Bet early on this line all the action is going to go on South Carolina.

PicksPick: South Carolina -7

Michigan State vs. Ohio State -15.5, over/under 54.5

This is one of the most highly argued games at I Talk Sports and That’s It. The Buckeyes cost themselves a chance at the college football playoff after getting stomped at Iowa.  We think the Buckeyes defense has been exposed and if they can’t stop the other teams offense JT Barrett will be useless.  I don’t think we see Michigan pull off the upset in Columbus but I don’t think they lose by three scores.

PicksPick: Michigan State +15.5

NFL

New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 , over/under 43.5

The Jet’s burned us last week causing our only lose for our normal picks.  This week they travel to Tampa and we have been gifted a spread from the betting gods.  No Winston, no Evans and know chance for the Bucs.  Josh McCown is playing at a pro bowl level and the Jets defense has shown the ability to cause pressure on the Quarterback.  The world fell for the Bucs thanks to their appearance on Hard Knocks, sadly realty has set in that this is just not a very good team.  Maybe Jameis will give us another ridiculous pregame speech, that will be the only entertaining thing about this game for a Bucs fan.

PicksPick: New York Jets -2.5

Pittsburgh Steelers -10 at Indianapolis Colts, over/under 43.5

The Steelers travel to Indianapolis on Sunday and we see big money here.  Colts just released their best corner Vontae Davis who was going to be out for the season anyway with an injury.  Big Ben should shred this defense with Antonio Brown and Juju Smith- Shuster.  Pitssburgh also has the speed on the defensive line to keep Jacoby Brissett in the pocket and force him to beat them through the air. If Pittsburgh keeps Brissett from using his athletic ability then they should be able to control the Colts offense.

PicksPick: Steelers: -10 (Parlay the over)

James’s “Why Not” Pick of the Week 1-2: Giants at 49ers

I let my hatred of Mizzou cloud my judgement in last weeks “Why Not” pick of the week, that brings my record to 1-2.  This week I am going for a slight underdog San Fransisco is 0-8 and has been embarrassing all season.  The only teams more embarrassing are the Cleveland Browns and their opponent on Sunday the New York Giants.  The Giants have enter turmoil which can only be matched by the cast of the Jersey Shore.  Even if the Giants didn’t have inner turmoil, this team is just not very good.

Why Not pick of the week: San Fransisco +2.5 

Good luck on your bets this week and remember if you aren’t down a paycheck you can still bet.

Michael Bisping MW Joke

At UFC 217 we saw the return of an icon.  George St-Pierre returned to the octagon and showed us why he was the welterweight kingpin for so long, submitting Micheal Bisping in the 3rd round of their main event title fight.  St-Pierre’s return not only gave us a nostalgic feel, it also gave us an end the the side show that was the Michael Bisping title run.

June of 2016 Bisping shocked the Middleweight world by surprising Luke Rockhold with a first round knockout.  After the upset of Rockhold, Bisping stood a top of one of the most stacked divisions in the UFC.  Up and coming talents like Yoel Romero, Robert Whitaker, Gegard Mousasi and Jacare Souza were all making statements throughout the division for a chance at the title.  With Bisping now in control of the division, contenders saw it as their best chance to become champion.  The UFC saw it as a chance to have their middleweight version of Conner McGregor.  Problem with Bisping is that he can talk the talk but showed he can’t walk the walk.  Instead of the UFC giving up and coming contenders a shot or giving former champs like Rockhold and Chris Weidman a shot, they choose to put 46 year old Dan Henderson in Bisping’s first title defense.  This was a way to try and legitimize the new champ by putting a name like Dan Henderson in his way.  While the Henderson fight made no sense in the true title picture we can understand this effort by the UFC to sell tickets and promote the grudge match.  Bisping had his chance to show the world that he was a real champion that could dispatch of what should have been a challenge but ultimately just a stepping stone to real contenders.  Bisping did what he does, he talked and talked and when it came to fight night he showed up and gave a good show, but it wasn’t a champions showing.  While Bisping won by Unanimous Decision anyone that watched the fight can openly dispute the final decision.

Bispings win over the aging Henderson was all Dana White and UFC needed to promote him as a “real” champion.  Week after week we saw Bisping parade himself on TV as the face of the middle weight division.  As contenders rose from the middleweight rankings we would always see a brash Bisping yelling down to them from his fortress of solitude that was his desk in the FS1 studios.  While he talked real contenders took care of business in the octagon.  Injuries and bad timing caused Bisping to not have a title fight for a full year.  Dana White desperate for a headliner for the first UFC show in Madison Square Garden decided that despite the lack of true prestige to Bisping’s championship run he could market a fight between Bisping and the returning George St-Pierre.  Bisping did what Bisping does, he sold the world that he had a chance to defeat St-Pierre in New York.  He sold the world on the fact that he was the best middleweight in the world.  In three round Saturday night in New York Bisping’s true ability was brought to light.  He was disposed by St-Pierre in convincing fashion, thus ending what became a joke in the division.

It’s not Bisping’s fault he was pushed. In a UFC world without “The Notorious One” the UFC ha to have their villain.  Problem is that in the real world the villain has to be convincing. With St-Pierre at the top of the division all middleweights will now get a real chance to show their ability.  We can have dream matchups between contenders and legends.  When we look back at this period of the middleweight division I hope we can forget the run of Michael Bisping and remember the rise of legitimacy to what can be considered the most stacked 185LB weight class of all time.  Bring on Whitaker, Romero, Wiedman and St. Pierre.  Forget the jokes and forget the talking.  Let’s see some real fights.

The Series That Saved Baseball

The 2017 World Series has dazzled fans for 5 games.  Each game has had its own storyline that has entertained even the most novice fan.  As we enter game 6 no matter who is the winner we have seen something that may spark fans interest in a game that many people consider boring.

Game 5 of the World Series had me on the edge of my seat throughout the night. A game that no one ever felt was over, back and fourth we saw the two best teams in baseball throwing punches at each other to see who could reach down deep and show that no matter how hard you get hit, it is about how you recover. This series has shown what makes baseball great,  no matter how much you are down even the smallest and least likely player can make a huge impact.

Justin Turner was a journey man utility player that was basically given away by two teams, Jose Altuve was laughed at when he showed up at his first tryout, Brad Peacock was a 41st round pick,  Chris Taylor was traded from Seattle so they could make roster space.  These players have shown up and given us our passion back.  Baseball is the most unpredictable sport in the world, on any given day we can see something we have never seen before.

Tonight we see Justin Verlander go against Rich Hill, who was playing for a team called the Long Island Ducks just two years ago.  While we all see a clear advantage for the Astros, how can we say this is a given.  This series has given us the excitement we all watch sports for.  Who will be the hero? Who will make the play that we will be watching twenty years from now?  Jack Bucks famous line “I don’t believe what I just saw.” still gives me goosebumps.  So far this series has been that call played out in front of us.  As this series comes to it’s conclusion I hope that we as fans understand that the passion we have seen in this series is why baseball is such a great sport.  Youth and Veterans have come together and given us a show.

No matter how this night plays out I ask that you all stand up and appreciate what we have seen.  Baseball at its finest. No wild card flukes, no gimmicks needed.  This is baseball and this is sport.

2017 First Half ALL-Frustration Team

As we enter week 8 of the fantasy football season, fantasy leagues are beginning to separate themselves as the top dogs in there leagues.  On the other hand some owners still lost in the shuffle of what they need to do to make that last ditch effort.  We at “I Talk Sports and That’s It” are excited to announce our first ever All- Frustration Team.  These are the players you know you can’t pull from your lineup but they continue to let you down.  You can’t drop these guys because your know as soon as you do they will turn it around.  Congratulations to these men for making owners around the world scream cuss words at your TV as if that would help.

 Quarterback: Matt Ryan (Honorable Mention: Marcus Mariota)

At the beginning of your draft If I told you that Trevor Siemain, Jacoby Brissett and Josh McCown had more fantasy points then Matt Ryan through week 8 I am pretty sure you would laugh at me.  Ok so Ryan has has a buy week and a few injuries to receivers but excused are like buttholes… you know the rest.  Week after week we think he is going to break out and have a big game. Week after week we are let down.  But sitting out the MVP just isn’t something a fantasy owner can live with.  Ryan still has time to turn it around in a division that has some extremely poor defenses but as for now he is our man at the helm of this hair pulling squad.

Runningback: Jay Ajayi (Honorable Mention: Adrian Peterson)

Ajayi beats out the future Hall of Famer because he has had the carries.  Going into your draft the question was whether or not you draft Ajayi in the first round or not.  Well if you did I feel your pain.  Problem with Ajayi is that we have seen what he can do it if gets going.  Last season I really enjoyed having him on my bench for his first 200 yard game of the year. With a Dolphins passing attack that features “studs” like Jay Cutler and Matt Moore as your QB we would assume that it would be a run heavy attack, but no it really has not worked.  Did I mention he has as many touchdowns as I do this season?  Congrats Jay you cost us all a top 20 pick.

Wide Receiver: Terrelle Pryor Sr (Honorable Mention: Sammy Watkins)

Terrelle Pryor Sr. is going to have a breakout year. He gives Kirk Cousins a real weapon on the outside. You better draft him early.  That’s what we all thought going into the season.  Pryor Sr. looked like a star in the making while in the cesspool that is the Cleveland Browns organization.  All he needed was a consistent Quarterback that can get him the ball and he will go to the next level.  Well that turned out to be false.  Getting draft mostly in the 3rd or 4th round as a number1 or high2 receiver it is hard to accept taking him out of the lineup. It’s hard to believe that Chris Thompson and Josh Doctson are going to continue to get all the throws so we are going to continue to start Pryor.

Tightend: Coby Fleener (Honorable Mention: Austin Hooper)

Tightend was a tough position to pick this year.  At times we wanted to give this distinction to Jimmy Graham but his recent relevance has sadly cost him this distinction.  I am excited to announce our all frustration tightend is Saints Coby Fleener. Saints constantly throw the ball but where have you been Coby?? Fleener was able to catch a touchdown two straight weeks to start the season so we all believe he can bounce back, so we start him.  Four weeks of under five points continues to deflate owners.  But you can’t let him go because he is just waiting to make you regret it. Thanks for the two weeks of success Coby.

There you have it.  The first ever “I Talk Sports and That’s It” All-Frustration team.  These guys cause more excess drinking on a Sunday then a Monday holiday.

Stop Complaining

My senior year at Missouri State University I needed an internship to graduate.  Being the sports fan that I was I targeted the Springfield Cardinals minor league baseball team.  I walked into the interview excited for the chance to work in sports.  The Cardinals GM sat down and the first thing he said to me was, “We don’t pay because we don’t have to.” A bit shook I laughed and just told him I was happy for the opportunity.

Sports is a privilege, sometimes I feel that professional athletes don’t understand that.  Recently we have had to endure the complaints of players like Martavis Bryant and Eric Bledsoe about why they don’t want to be somewhere.  They have used media platforms to make sure the world knows they are unhappy. While I understand the frustrations of losing and the frustration of losing your starting spot I don’t understand the acceptance of these antics. I applaud Suns GM Ryan McDonough telling Bledsoe to go home, for every complaining player there is one that will die on the field/court for you. While these players may not have the talent you possess they have the characteristics and maturity that we should all value.

9 time pro bowler Jason Peters injured his knee in the Monday Night game against the Redskins.  As he was being carted off the field his entire team came out to show support.  The ENTIRE team!  Peters was an undrafted Tight End that converted to a pro bowl lineman, he originally took a five thousand dollar signing bonus just to get a chance to make something of himself in the NFL.  He is the definition of what a pro athlete needs to be, he earned his way to where he is.

Next time a player wants to complain or say they want to be moved they should be forced to talk with Joe Thomas for a whole day about what it means to be a team player.

The Clutch Gene: it always wins.

What if I gave you the option of two different pitchers one was 14-5 with a 3.69 ERA, the other was 10-1 with a 1.69 ERA. Who would you take? The obvious answer is the 10-1 with a 1.69 ERA. But really there is no correct answer because it is a trick question. Both of these numbers belong to C.C. Sabathia . In game 3 the ALCS C.C. Sabathia showed the world why he signed a 7-year 161 million dollar contract back in 2009. Six innings of shut out ball against one of the toughest lineups in baseball and in one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. That 10-1 with a 1.69 ERA, those are Sabathia’s numbers after a Yankees lose in 2017. Sabathia throughout his career has shown the ability to pick up his team when needed most, I like to say the Sabathia has the “Clutch Gene”.
In sports there are just certain players that come to mind when you say “clutch”, instantly I think of Tom Brady, Derek Jeter and Micheal Jordan. These are the guys that when the lights shine brightest they perform. Sure these guys are some of the best ever to play the game, but what makes sports so amazing is the even players that can be considered mediocre or average can still have the ability to come through in times that analytically they should have no chance. Something that can’t be measure is a players ability to not only perform in the big games but make the play that no one else believed they could make.

Pablo Sandoval: World Series Career .426BA
Career: .286BA
Robert Horry: 7 NBA Championships, 4 game winning shots http://uproxx.com/dimemag/robert-horrys-top-10-clutch-plays/3/

Eli Manning: 8-4 Two Superbowls

Three players that are statistically not hall of famers but find ways to out perform better players. These are the type of players that will never have statues outside of of stadium. They will most likely never be considered the best in the game at any point, but they perform at the highest level possible when their team needs them.

In a sports world that is so statistically driven, this is a lost commodity. There is no way to scout the clutch gene. You either have it or you don’t. I picked the Astros in 6 games in the ALCS and I will stay with that pick but in game 3 of the ALCS C.C. Sabathia showed that even if the team on the other side has more ability, more depth and momentum, one person can change all of that with the ability to shine when needed.

Why not the Celtics?

On Tuesday the 2018 NBA season will begin with the match up that we have all been looking forward to since Kyrie Irving did the unthinkable, asking to be traded away from the Kingdom. What was once a marquee match up of the two best teams in the East has quickly turned into a soap opera sponsored by social media.

Celtics vs. Cavaliers is the only matchup that is worth a fans time in the 2018 Eastern Conference regular season. The Cavaliers open up as 3 point favorites at home. My prediction is that they cover the 3 points (contingent on Lebron playing) in game that will have a lot of back and forth moments early that will have fans wondering which team is truly the class of the conference.

While I see the Cavaliers winning on Tuesday night I do not see them running away with the Eastern Conference. Cavaliers fans see the additions of Isaiah Thomas, Derrick Rose, Dwayne Wade and Jae Crowder as replacements for Kyrie Irving. Asking Rose and Wade play at the level of Kyrie Irving is not realistic at this point in their careers. This is 2017-18 the wear and tear on both wade and Rose is very questionable. The inclusion of Isaiah Thomas gives a scoring punch that many would say can replace Kyrie. Remember that Isaiah Thomas was playing on a Celtics team that relied on him to handle all the decisions. Not only will he have a late start to the season but it is unlikely he will have much time with the ball especially in the 4th quarter. If Lebron has the willingness to hand over the reigns of the ball handling late then I believe Thomas can make an impact. But let’s be serious, that is not happening nor should it happen. I will predict at one point during the season there will be some unhappy comments in the media from one of these players.

So why not the Celtics? Athletes all over the court. The additions of Kyrie and Hayward give them a legitimate star power. Wings like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown will make people forget about Jae Crowder if they haven’t already. With the Cavaliers going smaller in the starting lineup, it plays right into the hands of a Celtics team that doesn’t have the depth in the center spot defensively. I do think that depth is problem for the Celtics. While I like their bench, the players on their bench are their for a reason. They are strictly role players. Barring an injury I think that the Celtics have a legitimate shot at dethroning the King. I see the Celtics losing Tuesday night but I also see a young hungry team with great leadership. This could be a year or two early but for now I believe the Cavaliers should be worried about their Eastern crown.