Each year we set up for our drafts the same way. Do as many mocks as we can fit in on a work day. Debate with friends and co-workers about who is going to be the biggest sleepers or the most likely busts . It’s time for the top four questions going into your draft.
David Johnson or Antonio Brown at #4
This has been the question I have been asked multiple times by many different people. After the top three (Elliot, Bell, Gurley) come off the board, who’s next? ESPN has David Johnson actually ranked ahead of Ezekiel Elliot on their draft boards. Johnson coming off a season ending injury last year was a unanimous top two pick going into that season.
Johnson has the ability to be the best runningback in the league when healthy but he also has a problem of lack of talent around him. Sam Bradford is an injury machine and Josh Rosen is a rookie. Two quarterbacks that give the opposing defense little to worry about. Antonio Brown on the other hand is the unquestioned #1 wideout on any and all draft boards. Brown is a part of a high level offense that will be putting up points throughout the season. Going with Johnson is not going to put you in a bad position but Brown brings you a number one unquestioned top player on your roster. David Johnson is great but he was only great for one season. If you can’t get the best of the best at RB1 I say you go for the top receiver.
Who could be a late second round steal?
Getting the first few picks is fun but it also means you have a long wait for the next pick. Who should you be keeping an eye on for a second rounder with 1st round talent. Davante Adams.
Davante Adams has become the #1 target for the best Quarterback in the league. With the decline of Randall Cobb, departure of Jordy Nelson and lack of overall running game Adams will be target number one for Aaron Rodgers. Adams emergence into fantasy relevance relevance over the last two seasons has put him in a prime spot to top 3 receiver status.
Adams quietly grabbed 22 touchdowns over the past two seasons. This season he could propel not only to double digit touchdowns but also break 1,000 yards for the first time in his career.
When do you take a Quarterback after the top 3 are gone? Who do you take?
So you didn’t get Russell Wilson, Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers. What do you do? You wait. Players like Drew Brees are falling down draft boards faster than Ohio State’s reputation. Projections are showing Brees being chosen as late as the 11th round. Brees has his issues with age and a movement of assets but to get him with your 11th selection is still a steal.
Keep an eye on the falling Ben Roethlisberger and Pat Mahomes. Two teams that have dynamic talent around them. You can load up on high level RBs, WRs and backup tightends. There is a perception that after the top three the quarterback situation stays the same but it is important to understand the teams style before just plugging in the middle tier players. If you do plan to wait for a quarterback you need to make sure you add two of the middle tiers guys to play the matchup.
What rookie should I target?
Runningbacks are the obvious choice when looking for rookie fantasy value. With the injury to Derrius Guice there is a new opening for rookie talent in your fantasy draft. Calvin Ridley of the Atlanta Falcons is a player that I plan to take late in drafts. Ridley is coming through as advertised as an ideal complement to Jones with reliable hands, strong routes against single coverage and a nose for the end zone. Ridley will also have the chance to work against single coverage with Julio Jones and Mohammad Sanu attracting most of the attention.