A clean sweep of the Thank giving day games as well as my “Why Not”pick of the week made our last picks extremely profitable.  We are planning to let it ride this weekend.  With the college bowl games on hold we bring you our strictly NFL picks this week. Matt Boeding and I have increased our record to an impressive 21-12-1, we may not always be right, but we have been very right lately.

 *all spread from sportsbook.com

NFL

New York Jets -1.5 at Denver Broncos , over/under 41.5

The Jets will head to Mile High to play the Denver Broncos being a favorite for the first time on the road since a disappointing performance week ten against the Bucs.  That game did not go well, Jets Head Coach Todd Bowles said it best, “We did not show up today”.  The disappointment of that game could very well be what ends up costing the Jets a shot at the playoffs.

Jets QB Josh McCown comes in riding a hot streak, two games in a row with no turnovers and 300+ yards passing, the developing chemistry with Robby Anderson has created a serious arial threat. A once imposing Denver defense will have a tall task to shut down McCown and the Jets three headed RB committee.

Denver’s defense will welcome back Aqib Talib from suspension which will help to slow down the Jet’s offense. defense will do its best to keep the Broncos in the game but can Trevor Siemian throw the ball to his own receivers? We have no faith right now in the flip a coin to start a QB system.

Jets -1.5

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars, over/under 40

Russell Wilson is the current MVP favorite…Calais Campbell could be the defensive player of the year…can SACKsonville contain Wilson?  For Jacksonville this game is about credibility, are they a true contender for the playoffs…For Seattle this is about are they a real contender for the Superbowl.

This game screams trap for the Seahawks as they come off a huge victory of the NFC leading Eagles and look forward to what could be a game that determines the NFC West next week against the upstart Rams. Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson will have to keep their team focused as they cannot look past a Jacksonville team that is young and hungry to make a statement.  We like Russell’s chances against the great Blake Bortles.

Seahawks +2.5

Dallas Cowboys -4.5 at New York Giants , Over/Under 41.5

I know…I know for the last three weeks we have picked against the Giants and basically called them the biggest jokes in the NFL, but we don’t buy the Cowboys either.  The Redskins did everything they possibly could to hand Dallas the game in Week 13.

The culture change happening in New York is going to be a factor as the New York fans will be able to show Eli Manning the proper respect management didn’t. While the fans welcome Eli back, Eli will welcome back the last receive standing Sterling Shepard.  With Shepard and Evan Engram, Manning will have a solid 1-2 punch to keep the Cowboys guessing.   The Cowboys won’t be handed this one.

Giants +4.5

James’s “Why Not” Pick of the Week. Record: 4-2: “Marcus Peters, you will be missed”.

For my “Why Not” pick of the week I am going to pick a game with major playoff implications.  The Oakland Raiders head into Arrowhead on Sunday for a meeting with the free falling Kansas City Chiefs.

Alex Smith showed signs of life against the Jets in Week 13 but this team has lost its identity.  Rookie RB Kareem Hunt has not reached over 100 yards or found the end zone in the last 5 games.  An Andy Reid offense without a strong running game is not a true “Andy Reid” offense.

The Raiders won’t have Amari Cooper…oh well.  Marshawn Lynch is hot, Crabtree is back from suspension.  Derek Carr has lit the Chiefs up once already this season and that was with shut down corner Marcus Peters on the field, he won’t be there Sunday.  Being at home the Chiefs should be favored but this is Oakland’s game to win.

Why Not pick of the week: Oakland Raiders +4

Good luck on your bets this week and remember if you aren’t down a paycheck you can still bet.