Gateway Grizzlies add two!

Sauget, IL- The Gateway Grizzlies have announced two recent additions for the 2019 season. The team has come to terms with Dominic Topozian, a pitcher acquired from the Sioux Fall Canaries of the American Association, as well as infielder Rafael Valera, formerly of the Pittsburg Diamonds of the Pacific League.

Topoozian, 24, played his final two years of college at Fresno State playing his biggest role his senior year appearing in 30 games for the Bulldogs as a relief pitcher in 2017 tying for sixth-most appearances in the Mountain West. The Clovis, California native started in nine games for the Sonoma Stompers of the Pacific league and appeared in 11 games, starting two for the Sioux City Exporers of the American Association, finishing with a 7-1 record and a 2.91 ERA. 

Valera, 24, began his professional career in 2011 as a non-drafted free agent of the Minnesota Twins. After spending eight seasons in the Twins organization reaching as high as the Fort Myers Miracle (A+ level). The Venezualan native spent 2018 with the Pittsburg

Diamonds of the Pacific League, where he posted a stat line of .294/.401/.467 adding 11 homeruns and 11 stolen bases. 

The Gateway Grizzlies will begin their season on May 10th when they take on the Shaumberg Boomers at GCS Credit Union Ballpark.  For ticket call the box office at 618.337.3000.

NBA DFS Picks 1-15-19

Haven’t posted a DFS lineup in awhile. This is what looks appealing tonight.

PG: Zach Lavine, Chicago Bulls, $6,800

Lonzo Ball will most likely be guarding Kris Dunn which should open up things for Lavine. Lavine hasn’t been the stud he was earlier in the season but this should be a solid matchup for him. This game is not calling for a high total, which seems a bit odd for me.

SG: JJ Redick, Philadelphia 76ers, $5,600

JJ has been on fire averaging 32.5 DK points over his last four. A nice matchup with the soft Timberwolves defense giving up the 5th most fantasy points to shooting guards. The focus will most likely be on Jimmy Butler tonight so JJ should see plenty of great matchups.

SF: Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles, Lakers, $7,300

No Rondo or Lebron has seen a huge useage uptake for Kuzma. Chicago doesn’t have anyone that can matchup with Kuzma, look for him to deliver 6.5X return on his salary.

PF: Bobby Portis, Chicago Bulls, $4,500

This one is a bit of a punt play, but when Portis gets the minutes he produces. At a cost of just $4,500 he is worth the risk for a double-double machine.

C: Steven Adams, Oklahoma City Thunder, $7,000

Potential blowout is always a factor when the Hawks are in play. Adams has had over 30 DK points in 8 of his last 10. With the highest projected team total and potentially John Collins or Alex Len guarding him Adams should have an easy time getting over 30 DK points.

G: Jimmy Butler, Philadelphia 76ers, $7,600

Revenge narrative is always a factor. You have to think Jimmy Butler is going to come out firing against his former squad. Butler has the personality of a player that loves to say I told you so. The Wolves will be without their best defender Robert Covington, Butler should easily hit value.

F: Mason Plumlee, Denver Nuggets, $4,400

This is the definition of a punt play. Plumlee has seen a major regression in minutes since Paul Millsap returned from injury. Still the Warriors seem to have a problem with big men that are strong down low. Jokic would make a lot of sense here but Plumlee is more of a post player. This is a gamble but if he can get at least 20 minutes is a cheap and effective gamble.

UTIL: Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors, $6,300

Warriors need Draymond to play big tonight to win. These are the type of games where he shows up in full force. Taking a risk on a player with high upside. Looking at 40 points from him tonight.

NBA DFS Picks- December 27

Unlike most in the DFS world I really enjoy a smaller slate. Five gamers allow you go play a stars and scrubs lineup and have a great chance to win. You can highlight a few players you want to watch. Here are the picks for tonights slate.

PG: Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors ($8,900)

I am drawn to a Warriors stack after the embarasment from Christmas night. The Blazers have been underwhelming to say the least and have a serious issues guarding the three. Damian Lillard on the other end seems like a solid play but I am going heavy Warriors tonight.

SG: Brandon Ingram, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,800)

No Lebron, this becomes Ingrams team again whether the fans want it or not.

SF: Kevin Durant, Golden State Warriors ($9,300)

I reference my Steph Curry reasoning.

PF: Noah Vonleh, New York Knicks ($5,600)

Vonleh seems to be the only matchup the Knicks have against Giannis. He has played like the player people thought he would be coming out of Indiana. Vonleh also just put up 36 points on Christmas day against the same Bucks team he is playing tonight. Low cost for a solid matchup.

C: Ivica Zubac, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,400)

This pick could change depending on the health of Javale McGee, no matter what Zubac has been very impressive when given time to play. Centers versus Kings are also always a solid play.

G: Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,500)

Ball is a similar play to Zubac. With Rondo out he will be the primary point guard. Again PG’s versus Kings is also a solid play on most nights.

F: Gordon Hayward, Boston Celtics ($4,700)

Not gonna lie this one is a wildcard pick against a poor Houston defense. Hayward has been streaky all season, but brings multiple potential options for points. Hayward has been consistent with 25 minutes per game and could have a couple of nice matchups in this one.

UTL: Nemanja Bjelica, Sacramento Kings ($4,800)

Bjelica is a solid player and the Kings will need to use their bench playing back to back games.

I will look to make changes based on injuries. Also may look to stack more Kings/Lakers players. Want to stick with Durant and Curry as my star plays.

DFS Picks November 19 2018

November 19 2018- DFS Draftkings pick.

Big slates are always fun.  Tonights slate is very interesting with a lot of different injuries impacting starting lineups.

PG: DeAron Fox, Sacramento Kings ($6,100)

Fox at $6,100 is to cheap.  OKC is without Westbrook and with Tony Ferguson.  Both teams will look to play at a quick pace.

SG: Tyreke Evans, Indiana Pacers ($4,100)

Victor Oladipo is out tonight.  That means the Pacers will need some production from from the guards, Evans brings the most upside.  Look at his usage rate to jump tonight.

SF: Tobias Harris, Los Angeles Clippers ($7,800)

Harris gives you a little bit of everything at a great price. Atlanta is a team that gives up points in bunches.  Who is going to stop Harris?  Answer… no one.

PF: Anthony Davis, New Orleans Pelicans ($11,600)

Davis has put up over 60 DK points in five straight games.  San Antonio is without Davis Bertans, Pau Gasol and any rim protection at all.  Davis is pricy but worth the cost.

C: Myles Turner, Indiana Pacers ($4,700)

Turner will get a lot of chances to score tonight without Oladipo.  Same argument for Evans with Oladpio out Turner’s usage rate jumps up.

G: Colin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers ($5,100)

Sexton is a gamble but with three straight games playing over 30 minutes and putting up over 30 points Sexton is a plug and play guy at an affordable price.  As long as Cleveland continues to play their young players there is upside to Sexton.

F: TJ Warren, Phoenix Suns ($6,400)

TJ Warren scores and scores in bunches start him and watch him go.

UTL: Monte Morris, Denver Nuggets ($4,100)

Morris is inexpensive and has been playing starters minutes, end of story.

Good luck tonight!

 

 

NCAAF Picks ATS- Week 9

Last week went pretty well going 5-3 with my picks.  Cincinnati blew the game against Temple and Mizzou actually showed up against Memphis.  But 5-3 brings me back to .500.  Let’s look into this week’s games.

Wisconsin Badgers -4.5 at Northwestern Wildcats

The Badgers entered the season looking for a National Championship.  Those dreams died at the hands of the BYU Cougars.  They continued to get buried against surging Michigan two weeks ago.  The bounce back came last week against the Illini and it will continue Saturday against Northwestern.

The Wildcats are as one-dimensional averaging just 2.9 yards per carry.  Sure the Wisconsin secondary is not great but they are well coached and will be able to shut down the one strength of Northwestern.

Alex Hornibrook will come up big against a weak Northwestern pass rush.  Look for Hornibrook to play above is usual level allowing RB Jonathon Taylor to run wild.

PicksWisconsin -4.5

Vanderbilt Commodores at Arkansas Razorbacks, 53.5

Vandy being favored at Arkansas shows the decline of the Razorbacks program. Arkansas will enter this game giving up 34, 24, 65, and 37 points against SEC teams.  While the Commodores are not an offensive juggernaut they should be able to move the ball.  This game is more about two teams that don’t play very good defense in the SEC.

This game could be garbage or it could be a scoring marathon.  I am betting on scoring.

PicksOver 53.5

Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers -7

I have gone back and forth on Missouri all season.  I don’t believe Drew Lock is as good as people think especially in big games, but he has his moments. His moment will come this weekend against the Kentucky Wildcats.

Kentucky has not shut down a good offense.  There wins have come against a struggling Mississippi State, a so-so South Carolina and a dreadful Vanderbilt team. They will need to put up points in Columbia.  Even if I don’t believe in Lock long-term the talent is still there.

The Missouri defense’s biggest weakness is their pass defense.  Kentucky QB Terry Wilson has yet to throw for more than 151 yards during their 6-1 start. Benny Snell will get his but they will fall behind early on the road and won’t be able to get themselves out of trouble.

PicksMissouri -7

Texas Longhorns -3.5 at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Texas is on the rise.  Since their lose to Maryland in week one they have taken no prisoners.  Wins over Oklahoma, TCU and USC have helped put them right in the National Championship conversation.  Texas QB Sam Ehlinger is very questionable for this game, with bigger matchups coming up for Texas I can see them taking a conservative approach with him in this game.

Junior, Shane Buechele will most likely get the start.  Buechele may not have the skills of Ehlinger but he did get starts for Texas during his freshman season, so the moment should not be too big for the Junior.

The Longhorns have owned Oklahoma State in Stillwater, winning 8 of 9 game against them.  The Longhorns need this game more then the Cowboys, it will show on Saturday.

PicksTexas -3.5

 

Other Picks:

Virginia -9

Oklahoma -24.5

South Florida +7.5

What I learned from week 2

Texans may not be very good.

Division matchups are always tough.  The Houston Texans were suppose to be the clear favorites of the AFC South due to the return of DeShaun Watson but things don’t work out how they should in the NFL.  Heading into Tennessee Houston’s dominant defensive line had to be licking the chops at the chance to go against the backup Blaine Gabbert and an injury riddled Titans offensive line.

This was a chance for Houston to make a statement in the division….but they lost.  The undermanned Titans were able to use trickery and game management to pull off the win.  Houston had its bright spots with the return of Will Fuller to the lineup going for 117 yards and a touchdown.  But in the end the Texans went to 0-2.  This will be a lose that can make a huge impact later on in the year.

The Browns will never change.

The Cleveland Browns were suppose to be on their way out of the cellar of the NFL.  An emerging defense, signing veterans Jarvis Landry, Carlos Hyde and Tyrod Taylor to go along with young stars like David Njoku and Antonio Callaway.  A coaching staff that consisted of Todd Haley and Greg Williams to mask the issues of Hue Jackson.

They had a chance to pull off two victories against New Orleans and Pittsburgh but the football gods refuse to allow them to take the next step in their development.  This team has improved but they have to get over the stigma of being losers.

I may be wrong about Patrick Mahomes.

Patrick Mahomes has been the talk of the NFL over the first two weeks.  Throwing for 10 touchdowns, defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers and Los Angeles Chargers. Two teams that most believed would be playoff bound coming into the season.  Mahomes has utilized the assets around him better then previous QB Alex Smith could have ever done.

Mahomes arm strength has allowed players like Sammy Watkins and Tyreke Hill to have freedom going down the field.  It has opened up the middle for Travis Kelce making this team a dangerous offensive force.

I believed that Mahomes was not ready to make an immediate impact, I figured that he would take some time to adjust to the speed of the NFL.  I was wrong.

The Jags are the real deal.

If I told you the Jaguars would bet the New England Patriots last season you would have to assume that it was the defense that controlled the game.  While they were good it was the play of Blake Bortles that carried the Jaguars to their first regular season win versus the big boys of the AFC the New England Patriots.

It’s time to stop looking at the Jaguars as an emerging team and realize that they are the class of the AFC.  They are no longer looking to just reach the playoffs, they are expected the reach the playoffs.

 

 

MLB DFS Lineup- Sept 18

Haven’t posted a DFS Lineup in awhile, but I like a few matchups tonight that I think can be exploited.  May make a few changes once official Lineups come out.  All prices are based off of Draftkings.

P: Jake Odorizzi vs Detroit  ($8,000)

P: Joey Lucchessi vs San Francisco ($7,600)

C: Danny Jansen, Toronto Blue Jays ($3,600)

1B: Ji-Man Choi, Tampa Bay Rays ($4,500)

2B: Joey Wendle, Tampa Bay Rays ($4,200)

3B: Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds ($4,400)

SS: Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians ($5,500)

OF: Lorenzo Cain, Milwaukee Brewers ($4,500)

OF: Kiki Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,900)

OF: Billy Mckinney, Toronto Blue Jays ($3,700)

I like the matchup of Lucchessi vs a depleted Giants lineup.  He has had success against them along with some serious strikeout potential.  Teaming him up with Jake Odorizzi could be great low level cost pitchers allowing you to grab some bigger bats.

The bigger bats I went with wer Francisco Lindor, Lorenzo Cain and Ji Man Choi.  Choi has been crushing the ball especially vs righties this season.  The Rays should be a popular stack playing in Texas and facing the explodable Yovanni Gallardo.

Good luck!