Fantasy Longshots

QB: Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

The Raiders added arguably the best wide receiver in all of football in the offseason.  When you add a star like Davante Adams your offense immediately goes to the next level.  Aaron Rodgers former #1 target gives the Raiders a threat in the red zone that they seemed to lack for most of the 2022 season. It also doesn’t hurt that there is a built in connection with Carr and Adams from their time playing together at Fresno State. 

Carr has the most weapons he has ever had while under center with the Raiders, a clear #1 receiver, a freak athlete and tight end, Darren Waller, and a reliable slot receiver in Hunter Renfrow.  He also has a great mind at the helm, new coach Josh McDaniels could be a big factor in his progression to upper level fantasy QB territory.

WR: Skyy Moore, Kansas City Chiefs

Western Michigan WR Skyy Moore was undervalued in the draft, likely due to being a part of a league that is not really known for being very defensive. Moore is “more” than just a product of MACtion.  He fell to the second round in a receiver heavy draft.

Moore will have to compete with fellow offseason additions Juju Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but the speedy wideouts looks like a perfect fit to replace the departed Tyreke Hill. His impressive YAC ability was tied for first with 26 forced missed tackles. Patick Mahomes will need someone to pull the safeties deep to open up the middle for Kelce and company. Moore has the chance to be an immediate impact for the high powered offense in Kansas City.

RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson finished the 2021 season with 606 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. As part of a three headed RB attack along with Brandon Bolden and Damien Harris.  Stevenson will not be the everydown back for New England but he should see plenty of opportunities out of the backfield in what they are calling the “James White” role of the New England offense. 

New England QB Mac Jones will likely see Stevenson as his safety net over the middle and on third downs.  Stevenson could become a serious red zone threat as well if he is about to be as productive as the former receiving RB James White was able to be.  Stevenson is also versatile in the running game, his ability to break tackles is on an elite level.  Bill Belichek tends to be unpredictable at times with his RB roles but this one looks like a solid lock as a weekly flex option, with explosive potential. 

TE: Hayden Hurst, Cincinnati Bengals

When the Falcons drafted future star Kyle Pitts, most forgot that they actually had a pretty talented tightend on the roster in Hayden Hurst. In 2020 Hurst put up 600 yards to go along with 6 touchdowns, he was emerging into a solid plug and play tightend. 

Hurst now finds himself on a Bengals team with an emerging offensive  and a litany of talent on the outside that will open up opportunities for him to return to his productive form.  Hurst will take over the role vacated by CJ Uzomah.  Uzomah had a route running participation of 78%, which is extremely valuable for any player that is not a primary receiver.  While being on the field doesn’t always lead to production, Hurst could find himself in so favorable one on one matchups because of the speed of Jamar Chase on the outside.  

His 6’4” 245lb frame could also make for a nice red zone target for Joe Burrow.  Hurst will likely go undrafted in many leagues but could be a sneaky addition in season or a late round pick for someone taking a gamble at the position.

Early Fantasy Sleepers

RB

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (ESPN 22)

Derrick Henry has been patient in his young career, waiting for his chance to show his worth in the fantasy world.  A sexy pick in 2017 that never seemed to get his chance to shine Henry had a mediocre season waiting for veteran DeMarco Murray to either get injured or show some decline. Murray’s injury during the 2017 playoffs opened the door for the former Crimson Tide back leading to a breakout game carrying the ball for 156 yards and a touchdown.

Henry may not see as many 3rd downs as most would like due to the pickup of former Patriot Dion Lewis but look for Henry to get all goal line carries as well as the bulk of the opportunity during the season.  Henry is to good and the Titans line love to run block.  If it’s PPR you may not see the productions you would want but in standard scoring leagues he could be a steal in the mid rounds.

Matt Brieda, San Francisco 49er (ESPN 55)

Jerick McKinnon may be more suitable for the starting spot in San Francisco, especially after Brieda suffered a shoulder injury during the preseason.  But McKinnon has just shown glimpses of ability in his career and has never been able to take over a starting spot. Look for the second year player from Georgia Southern to take over the carries early.

Brieda will most likely go undrafted in most leagues so keep an eye on him on the waiver wire around week two.

Honorable Mention:  Kenyan Drake (Dolphins)

WR

Cam Meredith, New Orleans Saints (ESPN 54)

Meredith was a sleeper for me in last years draft until a knee injury put him on the sidelines for the entire season.  Injuries have derailed the start of the preseason for Meredith but remember this is a guy that had 888 yards receiving with Brian Hoyer as his starting Quarterback just two years ago.

He now has Drew Brees throwing him passes in New Orleans as well as a Wider Receiver core that lacks depth after Micheal Thomas.  If Meredith is healthy he can be a solid #2 wide receiver that will pay out big time in late rounds.

Allen Hurns, Dallas Cowboys (ESPN 48)

There has been a lot of talk about Cole Beasley and Tavon Austin but I am keeping my eye on former Jaguar Allen Hurns.  With Dez Bryant out of the picture there will be a need in Dallas for a bigger receiver that can catch the long ball and Hurns stands out to me as a potential steal.

At 6’3″ he can be a bigger target for Dak Prescott in the red zone, while the Cowboys also have the 5th easiest projected schedule  against wide receivers during the 2018 season. Hurns is another big gamble for the upcoming season but if he can be a threat with Blake Bortles he can really be a threat with Prescott.

Honorable Mention: Mike Williams (Chargers), DJ Moore (Panthers), Calvin Ridley (Falcons)