Three Ideas to Fix the Cardinals Offense

The St. Louis Cardinals are not likely to go out and make a big splash in the trade market.  The need for more offense will have to come from within. The obvious answers to fixing the offense will be Paul Goldschmidt and Matt Carpenter returning to their career norms. Eventually you would assume they will improve but what else can the Cardinals do to improve the offense right now? 

Call up Tyler O’Neill and Play Him

Tyler O’Neill has strikeout issues.  It’s been talked about for what seems like years.  What O’Neill brings to the table is instant offense.  557 career minor league games O’Neill has 137 bombs as well as a .556 slugging percentage. The Cardinals rank bottom five in Isolated Power and Slugging Percentage behind teams like the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays. 

The Cardinals outfield have (or had) one guaranteed spot taken with Marcell Ozuna playing closer to the All-Star form of 2017.  Dexter Fowler and Jose Martinez have had moments where each have shown that they are capable taking over right field long-term, but those moments are becoming rare.  Harrison Bader’s defense has been the only thing keeping him in the lineup his .208/.324/.384 numbers can’t be hidden behind his defense. 

O’Neill has to be given a chance to play every day for at least a few weeks, if he can’t supply the offense that is needed the worst thing that happen is adding another strikeout to a lineup that is already proficient in that category.  Jose Martinez would provide more value late in pinch hitting situations and Dexter Fowler can split time with Bader depending on the matchup up. 

Kolten Wong can’t play against lefties, especially at home.

Kolten Wong has always been a player I thought was going to break out.  In April Wong looked like this was the season he was going to live up to the expectations. Quickly Wong has come back down to earth.  Wong has been incredibly miserable at the plate in St. Louis, sporting a .198 batting average to go along with a wRC+ of 48.  Wong’s defense has been elite but with the offense struggling the way it is something has to change.  Matt Carpenter has been sitting recently but that has not made changes to the offense, the next likely candidate to hit the bench would be Kolten Wong.

Tommy Edman and Yairo Munoz would be the likely candidates to step in for Kolten.  Edman jumped onto the scene getting 8 hits in 24 at bats to begin his career mixing in a homer and two stolen bases. Munoz has dealt with some injuries to start the season which has limited his usage to start the season. In 2018 though Munoz surprised me with a .350 OBP, the usually prevalent free swinger was able to get on base more often than Wong while also providing more power in the middle or end of the lineup.  

Yadi needs to be seventh and no higher.

St. Louis fans love of Yadier Molina has blinded them to his offensive inefficiencies.  Yadier Molina is sporting an .662 OPS while still being put into the middle of the order on most nights.  Regression is going to happen as players get older, Yadi was fighting the endless battle against time for the last few years and coming out on top. His age coupled with a thumb injury that sidelined him for a few weeks have begun to hamper the future hall of famer. While his presence in the lineup is still crucial from a leadership standpoint, the Cardinals front office has to look past the aura of career greatness and focus on the facts.  Molina is not hitting.  He has not hit for most of the season.  Continuing to put him in the middle of the lineup is a mistake that is easily correctable by the simple use of a pencil and an eraser.  Yadier Molins is a seven-hole hitter until he gives a reason not to be.    

Batting Molina 7thleaves you with ability to have Bader or Wong batting in the 8th hole in a bunt situation leading off an inning. Yadi’s thumb may heal and he gets back to the solid major league hitter we have seen over the last 5 seasons, for now he has to be moved.  

May 24 MLB Draftkings Lineup

SP: Noah Syndergaard, New York Mets, $10,100

Thor is facing the Detroit Tigers who basically strikeout as if it was their personal hitting approach.  While he has had a few clunkers this season its hard not to think Syndergaard isn’t looking at ten strikeouts tonight

SP: Miles Mikolas, St. Louis Cardinals, $7,300

Multiple stud pitchers going on the slate tonight you have to find someone to pair with them.  Mikolas is coming off of his worst start of the year but at 7.3K he has the highest upside of the low to mid-tier plays.  Worth a dart throw.

C: Yan Gomes, Washington Nationals, $3,200

Gomes is cheap but brings double digit DK points in 2 of 3.  Catcher is a tough position go with the veteran that is swinging well.

1B: Pete Alonso, New York Mets, $5,300

The Mets are another stackable team tonight going against Tigers prospect Gregory Soto.  Soto has stunk in his first three career starts. There is no other way to sugar coat it.  Alonso will have opportunity with men on to do damage, most likely homers tonight.

2B: Michael Chavis, Boston Red Sox, $5,000

Four homers in 29 at-bats on the season versus lefties makes Chavis a nice play.  Chavis has been at the top of the Boston order over the last few games which also gives him value with more plate appearances. While I like Wade Miley I can see him as a potential fade at hitter friendly Minute Maid Park.

3B: Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals, $4,200

Matt Carpenter has had a few slow starts in his career but I think it’s finally time for a breakout. Matching up with Mike Foltynewicz who gives up a .270 ISO against lefties this season.  Carpenter has had some bad luck this season with his hard hit percentage being high yet his BABIP has not. 

SS: Marcus Semien, Oakland Athletics $4,000

Semien matchups up with with Leblanc’s favorite pitch, the changeup.  Semien has an iso of .250 for the season against that pitch.  Look for Semien to use his sneaky power to drive the ball for multiple extra base hits tonight.

OF: Starling Marte, Pittsburgh Pirates $4,000

Marte is coming off of his best game of the 2019 season. Surprisingly Marte has also been hitting righties much better then lefties so a matchup with the tough Walker Buehler can scare a lot people off of him but with his great value and huge upside he is a perfect fit for your lineup.

OF: Steven Piscotty, Oakland Athletics, $3,700

Piscotty has a .441 wOBA versus lefties this season.  They face struggling Wade Leblanc.  He only costs 3.7K.  Any other questions?

OF: Steve Pearce, Boston Red Sox, $3,000

He should really be named chalky chalkerson for tonights game.  His career against lefties going along with his extremely low price will make him a most start in your lineup to save room for some pitching studs.

The right choice for Michigan

The legacy of the Fab Five lives on in college basketball history.  Any time there is a vaunted recruiting class they are compared to the greatness of the 1991 Michigan rookie class.  Three notable future NBA players Jalen Rose, Chris Webber and Juwan Howard highlighted a group that was able to reach two national championship games. Despite not winning either their impact on the game and their style of play was a look into the future of college basketball.

The Fab Five’s greatness was tarnished after leaving Michigan, allegations of paying players forced the university to take down banners that were earned from the sweat and hard work of 19-year-olds.  Whether or not you find the allegations right or wrong in the landscape of college basketball, I will never agree with a university ultimately punishing is student athletes by trying to take away the history they built in their time there. 

Michigan basketball has quietly been one of the most consistent programs in college hoops, since 2013 they have been in the national title game twice, reaching the sweet sixteen twice and the elite eight twice.  Only in 2015 did Michigan not make the NCAA tournament.  Add in one Big10 regular season title and two tournament title and you can see why the loss of longtime coach John Beilein was a punch in the gut to the program.  The loss of Beilein accompanied by the loss of last season top three scorers, Ignas Brazdeikis, Charles Mathews and Jordan Poole, all have announced they’ll being entering the draft and signing with agents temporarily left Michigan with a lot of questions heading into next season.  But with the quick acquisition of Howard as Head Coach things are looking positive for the future of the program.

Howard will have a tough test in his first season.  Returning team leaders Zavier Simpson, Jr., Guard and Jon Teske, Jr., Center will be the cornerstones of the rebuilding process.  While Howard brings a lot of name recognition and NBA star endorsements he is still going to be starting from behind in recruiting.  While eventually this will be a projected strength Howard has spent all of his coaching career within the NBA ranks and will most likely have to rely on his staff for current recruiting efforts.  Still based on the recent success of NBA stars to college coaches the turnaround of talent in the program shouldn’t be a multi-year problem. 

I believe that Juwan Howard will be a great college coach but most importantly Michigan made a choice that is great for the school and allows the alumni to remember a great time in their sports history.  Jalen Rose recently spoke about the hiring of Howard squashing the beef between the Fab Five and the university.  With Rose on board and Howard at the helm the next step will be to bring back Chris Webber and finally end this unfortunate saga.

Kudos to Michigan on getting a great coaching and reigniting a legacy that shouldn’t have been forgotten.

Don’t be stupid. Draft Dwayne Haskins

This is strictly targeted at the incompetent front office of the New York Giants.  It is time for you to look in the mirror and understand where their franchise is.  Eli Manning’s total QBR in 2018 ranked behind the likes of Nick Mullens and Josh Allen.  That is with weapons like Odell Beckham, Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard and the rookie Saquon Barkley. 

The Giants have had one winning season since 2013 and have shown no signs of understanding a certain direction.  I will give them the credit of ignoring the critics that say running backs can be found in later rounds and taking the best player in the draft last season Saquon Barkley.  They follow that up this offseason by moving arguably the best wide receiver in all of football Odell Beckham Jr. They are clearly trying to go in a different direction, yet they hold on to their 38-year-old quarterback that has been past his prime for about two years.  At the very least you have to try and prepare for time after Eli, if they truly think he still has something in the tank than they may not have another chance to take a high-level quarterback next season. 

The Giants passing on Dwayne Haskins can be a thorn in their sides for years to come as most recently the Washington Redskins have reported that they are interested in the Ohio State quarterback.  Under the tutelage of Jay Gruden Haskins will have a coach with experience bringing along a you quarterback.  If the Giants pass it would be very reasonable to believe that the Redskins would be able to make the move to get their target. 

New York is a tough fanbase to keep happy. Eli Manning has done it for what seems like my lifetime.  He deserves all the respect in the world but when you are sitting at #6 in the draft and have a chance to draft the next face of your franchise you cannot pass this up.  Dave Gettleman has already had a historically bad offseason.  I mentioned the Beckham trade, but we also can’t forget that this is the same guy that let Landon Collins walk away in free agency. Gettelman is still living off of the work he did in Carolina bringing that team to a new level despite the fact that most of the players that took that team to the next level were not drafted or acquired by him.  I don’t believe he is bad at his job but if the Giants decide to pass up on Haskins and he turns out to be the player I believe he will be there is no forgiving the stupidity of the organization.

Russell Westbrook: Most overrated player in the NBA

The Oklahoma City Thunder could very well come back and win their first round series with the Portland Trailblazers but after two games of the series its clear to anyone that is watching the best point guard on the floor is not Mr. Triple Double Russell Westbrook.  In fact, he may not even be the second-best guard on the floor with the way that CJ McCollum has been playing.  It’s time for the world to realize that Westbrook is not a franchise player he is a loser that knows how to fill a stat sheet. 

Westbrook entered the league as the #4 pick out of UCLA.  He was paired along-side the previous year’s #2 pick Kevin Durant, the soon to be Oklahoma City Thunder thought they had their dynamic duo that could lead them to a championship.  What they really had was two talented players that were destined for an eventual clash.  Durant and Westbrook were young enough and talented enough to get past their differences to carry them to the NBA Finals in 2011-12.  After they made their run the Thunder disintegrated into a split personality.  Westbrook did what he does, he took over despite what was best for the team.  He was unable to understand what was going to take them to the next level.  Westbrook inability to mesh with Kevin Durant has to be blamed on his own personality.  Durant was able to assimilate himself into the star studded Warriors with minimal clashing. 

With Durant gone Westbrook was signed long term to be the official face of the franchise and he has run with it.  There is no argument that he is a future hall of fame player that can do almost anything athletically on a basketball court.  When it comes time to make a big play do your really see Russell Westbrook making the big shots?  Do you see him closing out games in the biggest moments.  He has the personality of a great player and the ego of one but lacks that ability mentally to be “the guy”. 

As I watched game two last night I kept wondering where this all-time great player was, this franchise cornerstone that made it acceptable for Kevin Durant and James Harden to leave. Since Kevin Durant left the Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-10 in the playoffs while its “star” has been anything but.  Russell Westbrook has shot just 38% from the field and 28% from 3 during those 13 games and last night a true leader showed what it takes mentally to be great.  The Blazers team would do anything for Damion Lillard, they play with him and for him.  The Thunder had the momentum early getting out to a nine point lead, but as the lead began to crumble Westbrook began to crumble along with it.  When his team needed him most he disappeared.  Westbrook final stat numbers are always going to be strong.  He will get some points, rebounds, assists but he lacks the traits that make a player the best.  Russell is now 30 years old, he convinced Paul George to stay in OKC, he has time to turn it around but right now he is a stat player rather than a winning player.  Russell has a way to make you believe his is one of the best in the game, that is a mirage hidden behind a stat line. 

Oh and his personality really sucks. 

NCAAB Picks 2.15.19

Clemson Tigers at Louisville Cardinals -4.5, Under 131.5

Louisville enter this game on the wrong side of one of the biggest and most televised come backs of the season. The Cardinals came out on fire against the highly rated Blue Devils but were unable to handle the late pressure and dynamic offensive weapons.  They face a different challenge on Saturday with the Clemson Tigers in need of a marquee victory to put themselves back in contention for the NCAA tournament.

Like Louisville, Clemson is coming off a weekday loss to the Miami Hurricanes.  The loss brought an end to the Tigers four game win streak which saw them reemerge as a potential contender in the top heavy ACC. 

Chris Mack has proven his toughness as a coach and his team will back him up on Saturday. Clemson, despite being 21st in scoring defense, has their struggles with perimeter teams as they rank a dismal 279th in three-point field goal percentage defense (35.9 percent) this season. This will be a slow-paced game that will be controlled by the superior strength of Louisville’s Dwayne Sutton and Jordan Nwora.  I like the Cardinals to cover and the under

Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines -6

First instinct says that the Michigan Wolverines are getting to many points against a Maryland team that has taken two straight from Nebraska and the red-hot Purdue Boilermakers.  The difference for Maryland will be the defensive juggernaut Michigan.  John Teske and company will look to force the ball out of the hands of Bruno Fernando and Jalen Smith, packing the defense on the interior and force the guards to make plays.

Michigan is 15-0 at home, Maryland has while Maryland is 0-18 on the road against top 25 teams.  Michigan is 9-1 ATS after a straight up loss. I see Maryland struggling on the road against causing a double-digit loss.

Tennessee Volunteers +3 at Kentucky Wildcats

Despite Tennessee’s record their still seems to be some debate about whether they are at the top of the SEC pecking order.  Entering this game as a 3-point dog seems like a bit of a surprise. The Volunteers will bring their veterans into a hostile environment that they have seen before.

On the season, the Volunteers are fifth in the nation with 85.4 point per game, while also just allowing 68.5 points per contest. They are also efficient with their shots, making them even more dangerous.  Tennessee is seventh nationally with a high 57.0 effective field goal percentage.

The Wildcats have made big improvements since their beatdown on opening night. They will be a force to reckon with in March but for now this Tennessee team is on a mission to dominate the SEC.  Grant Williams will be the player to watch, Kentucky will have no answer for him on Saturday.  Bet the Volunteers, consider the moneyline.

Other games:

Auburn -9.5

Drake -5         

Virginia Tech/ Pittsburgh over 133

UCF/ Memphis under 150     

NBA DFS 2.4.19

PG: Bryn Forbes, San Antonio Spurs, $4,000

Derrick White has already been ruled out for this game. Assuming Forbes takes the starting spot at the point Forbes will be an important player in a paced up game against the Kings.  Patty Mills is $100 more expensive, whomever starts should get the start in your lineup.  I like Forbes because unlike Mills he can give you more than just scoring.

SG: D’Angelo Russell, Brooklyn Nets, $7,900

Russell gets the matchup with the Bucks, both teams will play at a high pace.  Russell at $7,900 is a must start with Spencer Dinwiddie on the shelf. 

SF: Mikal Bridges, Phoenix Suns, $4,400

Bridges has seen a huge uptake in usage since the injury to TJ Warren.  Playing over 30 minutes per game over his last four games.  Following two straight 35+ fantasy points Bridges should be in a great spot in a matchup with the Rockets. Most likely he will see the defense of James Harden and Gerald Green.  That should lead to so nice spots for him.

PF: John Collins, Atlanta Hawks, $8,100

Two high paced teams playing a game that should be easy full of fantasy points.  All centers for Atlanta should be in play, Collins is the one that fits the fast style more than Len or Dedmon

C: Brook Lopez, Milwaukee Bucks, $5,400

Centers versus the Nets is always a play.  Lopez will put up at least 30 points if given 20+ minutes.  Which he will.

G: Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards, $9,100

Beal versus the Hawks is a play of the day for pretty much anyone.  He and point guard Satoransky should both be chalky tonight.

F: Marvin Bagley, Sacramento Kings, $5,500

As Bagley’s minutes have gone up so has his production.  Neman Bejlica is still getting the starts but Bagley has been getting the real minutes.  The #2 overall pick is starting to really play the way everyone though he would.  Tough matchup but production will be easy at his cost.

Utl: Malik Beasley, Denver Nuggets, $5,500

Beasley is red hot.  Monitor the injuries to Jamal Murray and Gary Harris. If they play his minutes may go down.  Beasley can score and will be given the chance to put up big minutes if the injuries are still in effect.

Gateway Grizzlies add two!

Sauget, IL- The Gateway Grizzlies have announced two recent additions for the 2019 season. The team has come to terms with Dominic Topozian, a pitcher acquired from the Sioux Fall Canaries of the American Association, as well as infielder Rafael Valera, formerly of the Pittsburg Diamonds of the Pacific League.

Topoozian, 24, played his final two years of college at Fresno State playing his biggest role his senior year appearing in 30 games for the Bulldogs as a relief pitcher in 2017 tying for sixth-most appearances in the Mountain West. The Clovis, California native started in nine games for the Sonoma Stompers of the Pacific league and appeared in 11 games, starting two for the Sioux City Exporers of the American Association, finishing with a 7-1 record and a 2.91 ERA. 

Valera, 24, began his professional career in 2011 as a non-drafted free agent of the Minnesota Twins. After spending eight seasons in the Twins organization reaching as high as the Fort Myers Miracle (A+ level). The Venezualan native spent 2018 with the Pittsburg

Diamonds of the Pacific League, where he posted a stat line of .294/.401/.467 adding 11 homeruns and 11 stolen bases. 

The Gateway Grizzlies will begin their season on May 10th when they take on the Shaumberg Boomers at GCS Credit Union Ballpark.  For ticket call the box office at 618.337.3000.

NBA DFS Picks 1-15-19

Haven’t posted a DFS lineup in awhile. This is what looks appealing tonight.

PG: Zach Lavine, Chicago Bulls, $6,800

Lonzo Ball will most likely be guarding Kris Dunn which should open up things for Lavine. Lavine hasn’t been the stud he was earlier in the season but this should be a solid matchup for him. This game is not calling for a high total, which seems a bit odd for me.

SG: JJ Redick, Philadelphia 76ers, $5,600

JJ has been on fire averaging 32.5 DK points over his last four. A nice matchup with the soft Timberwolves defense giving up the 5th most fantasy points to shooting guards. The focus will most likely be on Jimmy Butler tonight so JJ should see plenty of great matchups.

SF: Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles, Lakers, $7,300

No Rondo or Lebron has seen a huge useage uptake for Kuzma. Chicago doesn’t have anyone that can matchup with Kuzma, look for him to deliver 6.5X return on his salary.

PF: Bobby Portis, Chicago Bulls, $4,500

This one is a bit of a punt play, but when Portis gets the minutes he produces. At a cost of just $4,500 he is worth the risk for a double-double machine.

C: Steven Adams, Oklahoma City Thunder, $7,000

Potential blowout is always a factor when the Hawks are in play. Adams has had over 30 DK points in 8 of his last 10. With the highest projected team total and potentially John Collins or Alex Len guarding him Adams should have an easy time getting over 30 DK points.

G: Jimmy Butler, Philadelphia 76ers, $7,600

Revenge narrative is always a factor. You have to think Jimmy Butler is going to come out firing against his former squad. Butler has the personality of a player that loves to say I told you so. The Wolves will be without their best defender Robert Covington, Butler should easily hit value.

F: Mason Plumlee, Denver Nuggets, $4,400

This is the definition of a punt play. Plumlee has seen a major regression in minutes since Paul Millsap returned from injury. Still the Warriors seem to have a problem with big men that are strong down low. Jokic would make a lot of sense here but Plumlee is more of a post player. This is a gamble but if he can get at least 20 minutes is a cheap and effective gamble.

UTIL: Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors, $6,300

Warriors need Draymond to play big tonight to win. These are the type of games where he shows up in full force. Taking a risk on a player with high upside. Looking at 40 points from him tonight.