NBA DFS 3.11.19

PG: De’Arron Fox, Sacramento Kings ($7,300)

Fox is always a questionable play.  He can dominate a game or play 20 minutes.  This matchup is ideal for both teams with a total reaching into 240 for the game.  The Kings and the Wizards are up pace teams that don’t play a lot of defense.  Fox at $7,300 is a good play.

SG: Tomas Satoransky, Washington Wizards ($5,800)

Satoransky has play 37 minutes +  over his last three games. A matchup with the Kings is great for PG’s and bigs.  Satoransky doesn’t rely on one thing to provide value, even if he isn’t scoring he can give you boards and assists.

SF: Harrison Barnes, Sacramento Kings ($5,800)

The veteran Barnes has been playing big minutes since joining the Kings.  The former Warrior is hungry and has proven himself to be a solid contributor to the Kings and will continue it.

PF: Bobby Portis, Washington Wizards ($5,900)

Portis feasts off of weak defenses, the Kings are weak.  Should have solid value here for another medium priced player. 

C: Andre Drummond, Detroit Pistons ($9,100)

Coming off of 30 minutes that didn’t take him to much effort puts Drummond in a great spot against the second worst defense against bigs.  The Nets are a team you always plug the center in against no matter what.  The Pistons have quietly become one of the most efficient offenses in the second half.

G: Spencer Dinwiddie, Brooklyn Nets ($6,000)

I love Spencer Dinwiddie.  While not starting his still provides starter minutes and starter production. Dinwiiddie has been shooting the three at a 37% clip this season making him valuable even if the Nets are behind.

F: Gordon Hayward, Boston Celtics ($4,600)

With not Tatum in the lineup Hayward and Jaylen Brown should see more minutes in a favorable matchup with the Clippers. Hayward’s price is too good without Tatum.  If he starts look for big points, if he doesn’t he should still hit value.

UTL: Joe Ingles, Utah Jazz ($5,900)

No Ricki Rubio has turned Joe Ingles into a versatile option.  Averaging 7 assists a game when getting the chance to play the point.  Russell Westbrook will most likely have the matchup with Spider Mitchell which should free up some play making for Ingles.

Other players to consider:

Frank Kaminsky, Charlotte Hornets

Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics,

Trevor Ariza, Washington Wizards

3 Reason why its Lebron’s fault If the Lakers don’t make playoffs.

The Lakers pulled off a victory over the New Orleans Pelicans behind Lebron James and Brandon Ingram.  The playoffs are still a long shot for the historic franchise.  If they do not make it to one of the top eight teams in the West the blame should lie on the supposed “GOAT”.  Here is why.

Lebron’s a destructive locker room presence.

It’s really not a great idea to openly tell the world that you don’t think your team is good enough.  It’s even worse to basically tell them you hope they are traded.  James has always manipulated management based on his needs but the Lakers front office has allowed him to unwillingly be their mouthpiece. 

The Lakers are a young core that have spent most of their young lives watching Lebron James dominate the league.  They strived to be Lebron, they played him on video games, wore his jersey, pretended to be him when playing pickup games in the park.  When you get the once in a lifetime chance to be on his team you hope that it is everything you dreamed.  Instead you are told you are not good enough and openly disrespected.  While he is the one that takes the criticism in the media they are the ones that the blamed is cast upon. 

Lebron and Luke Walton were never going to work.

Luke Walton was a hot commodity when he was hired by the Los Angeles Lakers.  The fill in for Steve Kerr for a handful of games in 2015 impressing may around the league leading the Warriors to a historic 39-4 start.  Walton had a team that was built around multiple players that were willing to work hard as a unite.  All they needed was a string leader to set the course and they would execute to the highest level. 

Lebron James is not the type of player that wants to be lead.  He is the type of player that wants you to fall in line, that is the same with his coach.  To many times we have seen Lebron run a coach out of town.  David Blatt made it to the finals and was fired the next year because of Lebron. It’s his way or the highway.  Luke Walton is young enough and bold enough to step up to Lebron, which is not a good thing for his career.

Lebron is more worried about the summer then the team.

I love the set-up of the All-Star game over the last two years.  This year especially showed why it can be very interesting.  If you checked the roster of team Lebron it featured Anthony Davis, Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving.  There is no coincidence that the core of his roster was comprised of potential running mates for next season.  Lebron knows that his team his not good enough to beat the Warriors right now so why should he give max effort, he can just wait until the summer so that the excuse can be that he needs help.  Lebron always needs help.  If Lebron loses it’s because the players around were not good enough. 

Telling the world “playoff” Lebron is kicking hasn’t seemed to help his effort on the defensive end.  What about “playoff” Lakers?  Shouldn’t that be what he is focused on.  The King is the greatest player of my generation.  I was never able to watch Jordan in his prime while I was old enough to appreciate it, so sadly I am stuck with Lebron, a selfish player that thinks about excuses rather than taking ownership.  It’s cool though this summer the Lakers will probably sign someone to play alongside him and become the new scape goat.

NBA DFS 2.26.19

PG: Kyrie Irving, Boston Celtics ($8,800)

Kyrie was able to torch the Raptors in their last matchup.  With the obvious popularity of Russell Westbrook tonight going different with a hungry Kyrie can set you aside from the pack.

SG: Dennis Schroder, Oklahoma City Thunder ($4,300)

In a 3 game slate someone has to standout.  Schroder at a low cost in a high total game can bring major upside.

SF: Gordan Hayward, Boston Celtics ($4,300)

Before his injury Gordan Hayward had three straight games of over 30 DK points.  If he is fully healthy he can be a tough matchup for the Raptors second unit.

PF: Aaron Gordon, Orlando Magic ($6,400)

This isn’t an ideal spot for Gordon against a slower paced Knicks team but if the choice is between him or Jonathon Isaac the choice has to be the upside of Gordon

C: Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets ($10,000)

Jokic like Westbrook is always a smart start no matter what.

G: DJ Augustin, Orlando Magic ($4,100)

Backup point guard Isaiah Briscoe is out which means Augustin is the only point guard on the roster that has played any minutes.  Augustin and Terrance Ross have been going off lately either will be a solid start tonight.

F: Al Horford, Boston Celtics ($6,300)

Big game Horford will show up tonight.

UTL: Steven Adams, Oklahoma City Thunder ($5,600)

This was a tough choice but with the bigs that Denver can bring at you Adams is a must play for the Thunder.  Tip ins and blocks will be huge tonight for Adams.

*also consider playing Jamal Murray in UTL spot.  Just sub Isaac for Gordon.

NBA DFS Lineup 2.14.19

PG: Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder ($11,600)

No brainer.  Highest total of the night, stat stuffer that will continue to stuff. 

SG: Jeremy Lamb, Charlotte Hornets ($5,700)

Lamb has quietly been a very reliable scorer for the Charlotte Hornets.  The type of player that will give you 20 points in a half. Coming off of two straight solid performances, surprisingly Lamb averages a whole point more per game away then he does at home.  Lamb is a solid mid-range play.

SF: Paul George, Oklahoma City Thunder ($10,700)

The MVP of the first half will want to put his stamp on the final game.  George is red hot and will continue to play well against a poor defensive team.

PF: Kevin Knox, New York Knicks ($4,900)

Knox has been playing big minutes now that the Knicks finally realized they stink.

C: Mitchell Robinson, New York Knicks ($4,100)

19+ points in 12 straight games.  Low cost will most likely make him very chalky tonight in a stars and scrubs lineup. Targeting centers against the Hawks is always a strong play.  The hawks will feature multiple big’s so the Knicks will need Robinson’s size.

G: Alonzo Trier, New York Knicks ($3,300)

The Knicks are always tough to predict, but Trier is coming off of his best game in weeks last night.  We know the Hawks are going to run, Trier is a great matchup in this situation to keep up with the speed of Trae Young.

F: Taurean Prince, Atlanta Hawks ($4,700)

Prince’s defense will be important against the Knicks best scorer Kevin Knox, he is diverse enough to give you point in multiple areas.

Util: Cody Zeller, Charlotte Hornets ($4,800)

No Bismark Biyombo tonight means more minutes for Cody Zeller.  Zeller has been back from injury for four games and has increased his DFS point total each game. Another low cost option that will at least get you high rebound totals.

NBA DFS 1.28.19

PG: Lou Williams, Los Angeles Clippers, $7,400 Williams is going to be popular in this matchup against the fast paced Hawks.  Fast pace and a player paying at a high level makes for big points.  Beverly is cheaper and will get his minutes but Williams is the more certain player for points. SG: Bojan Bogdanovic, Indiana Pacers, $5,600 Bojan is quietly having a solid season.With the injury to Oladipo points will be at a premium for Pacers guards.  Bojan will be looking to shoot and shoot a lot. Collison will be the chalkier play but don’t under estimate Bojan in this matchup. SF: Kevin Durant, Golden State Warriors, $9,400 No Draymond Green will open up the floor for Durant to be more of a playmaker.  With Boogie Cousins still on a bit of a minute restriction I am looking for Durant to not only supply points tonight but also rebounds.  Double-double should be a guarantee. PF: Dwayne Dedmon, Atlanta Hawks, $5,500 Only the Suns give up more points to centers then the Los Angeles Clippers.  Stacking the Hawks bigs, (John Collins will be chalky) seems like the best play of the night.  Dedmon will be a big matchup problem for the Clips, he has a low price and even higher upside. C: Montrezl Harrell, Los Angeles Clippers, $7,100 Harrell is a fantasy monster. The Clippers already play at a fast pace and it will only get faster tonight against the defenseless Hawks.  Harrell’s price is a bit more than I would like but he is still a solid play at a mid-range price. G: Trey Burke, New York Knicks, $4,200 Injuries to Frank Ntilkina and Emanual Mudiay open up minutes for bothTrey Burke and Alonzo Trier.  Burke should get the start as well as the points. He is high-risk high-reward.  Hornets give up the 12th most points to PG’s. F: Dom Sabonis, Indiana Pacers, $6,600 Love centers versus the Warriors. Sabonis also has no problem running the floor if the pace quickens.  Similar to the Bojan play, there are points to be had for the Pacer and Sabonis will be there to take them. UTIL: Malik Beasley, Denver Nuggets, $4,200 No Murray tonight for the Nuggets.  With the return of Will Barton and Gary  Harris, most will stay away from Beasley.  Could be a nice play if he gets a\ large chunk of the Murray minutes.

Early Slate NBA DFS MLK Day

Early Slate NBA DFS Plays. Martin Luther King day means a three day weekend and all day basketball. Split slates on Draftkings allows you to focus your DFS plays on just morning and night games. When looking at the morning slate, two plays stood out to me. I am going to build my team around De’Angelo Russell and Blake Griffin. Here is one of the lineups I am playing on the morning slate.

PG: De’Angelo Russell, Brooklyn Nets, $8,300

Always a dangerous play because of the greatness of Spencer Dinwiddie. Russell has a supreme matchup with the fast paced Kings and the lack of presence of any capable defenders.

SG: Luke Kennard, Detroit Pistons, $3,900

Kennard quietly is one of the hottest players on the Pistons. With No Drummond and poor play from Reggie Jackson, Kennard has been a legit performer over his last three games averaging over 25 fantasy points in each.

SF: Terrance Ross, Orlando Magic, $5,500

When you play the Hawks the pace is always picked up. Terrance Ross has been a consistent scorer all season and will be a perfect fit for this style of game. Ross doesn’t start but plays starter minutes. He can score and they will need points in this matchup.

PF: Blake Griffin, Detroit Pistons, $9,600

No Drummond always makes Griffin a must play. With Thomas Bryant and Otto Porter most likely being the guys trying to cover him it is a juicy matchup for the former sooner.

C: Willie Cauley-Stein, Sacramento Kings, $6,600

Centers versus the Nets are always a nice play.

G: Colin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers, $4,700

Sexton is a starting point at $4,700. this game is not going to be very fantasy relevant but when looking at the lower cost guards Sexton stood out to me because he can add points of the defensive end.

F: Lauri Markkanen, Chicago Bulls, $6,900

A quiet play for most because of his cost, Markkanen will not have to contend with the likes of Larry Nance and Tristan Thompson. He should be a guarantee for a double double.

UTL: Johnathan Isaac, Orlando Magic, $4,200

Gordon is questionable. If he doesn’t play Isaac will be chalky. But nevertheless he will still get 30 minutes against the upper paced Hawks. Isaac is in a great matchup and should give you 30 point value.

Why Calipari to the NBA makes so much sense.

John Calipari has become one of the most recognizable coaches in college basketball.  Bringing the Kentucky Wildcats storied program back to the prestige it was held. Calipari revolutionized the one and done rule to the point that other coaches were forced to adjust their mentality to compete.

Calipari is kind of a turd. He’s cocky, loud, conceded and a winner.  These traits, are the traits of a coach that can make it in the league now.  His confidence makes him relatable to players.  He has the confidence that is the way society is, most recently shown by the comments of the “GOAT” Lebron James.

Let’s look at the potential for Cal in the NBA.  The Washington Wizards will most likely move on from Scott Brooks at the end of the season.  Why not make a call to coach Cal and see if he would be interested in working with his old buddy John Wall again? Wall has shown immaturity throughout his career, but he has a respect for his old college coach. If the Wizards are committed to making it work with Wall bringing in a coach of his choosing like Calipari would be a smart move. They can move Bradley Beal for a mid-level player and clear some cap space for impending free agent DeMarcus Cousins in 2019 or potentially wait for the big piece in two years with Anthony Davis. Both former Calipari guys and both would show interest in matching up with their former coach.

Let’s not act like bringing Calipari to the LA Lakers wouldn’t be completely crazy.  Luke Walton has not made himself indispensable.  Adding Cal would work to help them recruiting Anthony Davis as well as make huge headlines for an organization

Ok, maybe that idea is farfetched.  Why would those guys want to go to Washington?  Well why would Paul George stay in Oklahoma?  Why did Lebron go back to Cleveland?  What is the deal with Kawhi Leonard?  There are a lot of things that are hard to explain, the NBA continuously has players, coaches and teams that make questionable decisions.  Is it so crazy to think that these players aren’t drawn to Calipari and his loose style and demeanor?

Why would Calipari leave Kentucky?  Being one of the most successful college coaches of my generation is no joke.  He was able to take UMass and Memphis to heights that they have never been.  Now he is at one the most prestigious universities of all time.  The reason he may leave is that the one and done rule is on its way out.  New developmental leagues are going to attract players that want to make money instead of spending a year being forced to go to classes that they do not care about.  This change will have an impact on the way Calipari has been building his teams.

While the changes in the NCAA can have an impact, I think it is the past failures in the NBA that will drive Calipari to the NBA.  During his time in New Jersey he was the definition of inconsistency finishing with a career record of 72-112.  This has to sit in his mind.  His personality will drive him to make an impact in the NBA before he calls it quits.  If Calipari was going to the NBA it should happen now.

NBA DFS Picks- December 27

Unlike most in the DFS world I really enjoy a smaller slate. Five gamers allow you go play a stars and scrubs lineup and have a great chance to win. You can highlight a few players you want to watch. Here are the picks for tonights slate.

PG: Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors ($8,900)

I am drawn to a Warriors stack after the embarasment from Christmas night. The Blazers have been underwhelming to say the least and have a serious issues guarding the three. Damian Lillard on the other end seems like a solid play but I am going heavy Warriors tonight.

SG: Brandon Ingram, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,800)

No Lebron, this becomes Ingrams team again whether the fans want it or not.

SF: Kevin Durant, Golden State Warriors ($9,300)

I reference my Steph Curry reasoning.

PF: Noah Vonleh, New York Knicks ($5,600)

Vonleh seems to be the only matchup the Knicks have against Giannis. He has played like the player people thought he would be coming out of Indiana. Vonleh also just put up 36 points on Christmas day against the same Bucks team he is playing tonight. Low cost for a solid matchup.

C: Ivica Zubac, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,400)

This pick could change depending on the health of Javale McGee, no matter what Zubac has been very impressive when given time to play. Centers versus Kings are also always a solid play.

G: Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,500)

Ball is a similar play to Zubac. With Rondo out he will be the primary point guard. Again PG’s versus Kings is also a solid play on most nights.

F: Gordon Hayward, Boston Celtics ($4,700)

Not gonna lie this one is a wildcard pick against a poor Houston defense. Hayward has been streaky all season, but brings multiple potential options for points. Hayward has been consistent with 25 minutes per game and could have a couple of nice matchups in this one.

UTL: Nemanja Bjelica, Sacramento Kings ($4,800)

Bjelica is a solid player and the Kings will need to use their bench playing back to back games.

I will look to make changes based on injuries. Also may look to stack more Kings/Lakers players. Want to stick with Durant and Curry as my star plays.

NBA Trade Candidates

Hassan Whiteside is a talented player at a position that has become devalued with the emergence of the run and gun offense.  Heat GM Pat Riley gave Whiteside a lot of money giving him a 4-year/ $98 million in 2016 placing him as a franchise player.  Clashes with Coach Eric Spoelstra, “injuries”, and further emergence of Bam Adebayo have put Whiteside on the outside of the future plans for the Heat.  Who would take and him? 

Unlikely but interesting: Cleveland Cavaliers.

I know the Cavaliers have a player named Tristan Thompson that is very similar.  Thompson though doesn’t bring the star power or the offense that Whiteside can bring.  2018-19 is a lost season for the Cavaliers but a trade for Whiteside would give the a core that would be very formidable in the East.  Kevin Love, Colin Sexton, Cedi Osman and Whiteside would give the Cavaliers a starting lineup that could be bottom tier of playoff eligibility.  Not to mention the Cavaliers will be looking at potential top five pick next summer.

Moving George Hill and releasing JR Smith can be a bit of a problem for the potential of moving money.  But if the Cavaliers put up Thompson and another piece they can realistically move money that would make it acceptable for the Heat.  Would Spoelstra and Riley be willing to move one locker room problem for another potential problem?  Unlikely but why not.

Makes sense: Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers jumped out to a nice start during the 2018 season.  The illusion of their ability is starting to show after a couple lopsided losses to the Raptors w/o Kawhi and the rebuilding San Antonio Spurs. Adding a player like Whiteside can make them a real threat in the West.  Pairing him with the rising star of Tobias Harris and multiple ancilary players can make them a tough matchup at multiple positions.

The Clippers appear set on not giving Montrez Harrell full starter minutes so its safe to say they don’t believe he is the answer at the center position.  Whiteside can not only help them of offense but can handle the paint allowing the guards to move the ball out after a defensive stop. The Clippers have a ragtag group of players, adding a potential star like Whiteside could be just the boost they need for the remainder of the season. 

Picking up Whitesides remaining contract could make it tough to add two players in the offseason, but if their target is going to be Kawhi Leonard they could add to his interest by having one of the best two way big men in the league.  

Should do it: Charlotte Hornets

The Hornets are at a crossroads. They are good enough to make the playoffs but are not good enough to win anything.  They have a built in star with Kemba Walker as well as a strong set of role players.  They are missing a piece to pair with their star.  Enter Hassan Whiteside. Charlotte may be turned off at the idea of adding another troubled center after the Dwight Howard experiment did not pay off, but with the veteran presence of Tony Parker on the bench and the leadership of MJ this move could be the ticket to the next level for a Charlotte franchise that has seen limited success.  

Cody Zeller and Bismarck Biyombo have filled in the role of center during the 2018 season, clearly Whiteside would make for a upgrade on multiple levels.  His presence on the offensive end would open up opportunities for Kemba Walker and allow Zeller to move to the bench, which can strengthen the second unit.  Unlike the previous teams listed it would be tough for the Hornets to make an offer that would be intriguing for the Heat.  Charlotte does not have the expiring contracts potentially needed to make the move. They do however have their first round picks for the next two seasons.  Moving one of those picks and two expiring contracts could be all it takes to get the Heat to move on from a player they do not see a future with. Whiteside has his negatives but the potential for stardom is their.  Charlotte will have to make the first move.

Draftkings Picks December 10

December 10 2018- DFS Draftkings pick.

11 game slates make for multiple options, there are three games on the slate that have caught my attention. Let’s make some decisions.

PG: DeAron Fox, Sacramento Kings ($7,600)

Fox has seen an increase in salary over the last few weeks.  But with the lowly Bulls on the slate this game should be full of offense. Fox will have a great opportunity for high upside.  The Bulls rank bottom ten against point guards this season.  Fox can go off for 50 any night, tonight could be one of those.

SG: Bogdan Bogdanovic, Sacramento Kings ($6,300)

Let’s continue the stack of Kings against the Bulls.  Bogdanovic has hit above 25 for six straight games.  He is also blow out prove as he doesn’t sit usually start.

SF: Trey Lyles, Denver Nuggets ($3,700)

With the injury to Millsap, Lyles saw a huge up in minutes.  This play is mainly a price play for a guy that looks to play at least 30 minutes tonight.  The matchup with Memphis is not ideal, but a player playing a that many minutes at $3,700 is always worth a shot.

PF: Marvin Bagley, Sacramento Kings ($4,700)

Bagley is questionable tonight but if he plays he can be another asset at an affordable cost. Bagley is a double double machine in a pace up spot. Play him if he is able to play.

C: Karl Anthony-Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves ($9,200)

The return of Draymond green could make for a fun matchup for Towns.  Towns will bring a large amount of offense to this game.  With the questionable status of Anthony Davis, Towns seems like an easy play.

G: Colin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers ($4,900)

No George Hill means more time for Sexton.  Lots of minutes against coming for a point guard with few options behind him.

F: Otto Porter Jr., Washington Wizards ($6,100)

No John Wall tonight opens up more points for secondary players. Otto Porter will be the recipient of those points against a Pacers team that seem like a bad matchup.  Porter will bring multiple value spots.

UTL: Zach Lavine, Chicago Bulls ($7,400)

Potentially the play of the night.  Lavine has a chance to flourish in potentially the biggest game stack of the night.  Lavine has more options to work with after the return of Lauri Markkanen.  Lavine will not have a player to match him on the defensive end.  Lavine should net close to 50 tonight while his price continues to drop.

Good luck tonight!