NBA DFS Picks- December 27

Unlike most in the DFS world I really enjoy a smaller slate. Five gamers allow you go play a stars and scrubs lineup and have a great chance to win. You can highlight a few players you want to watch. Here are the picks for tonights slate.

PG: Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors ($8,900)

I am drawn to a Warriors stack after the embarasment from Christmas night. The Blazers have been underwhelming to say the least and have a serious issues guarding the three. Damian Lillard on the other end seems like a solid play but I am going heavy Warriors tonight.

SG: Brandon Ingram, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,800)

No Lebron, this becomes Ingrams team again whether the fans want it or not.

SF: Kevin Durant, Golden State Warriors ($9,300)

I reference my Steph Curry reasoning.

PF: Noah Vonleh, New York Knicks ($5,600)

Vonleh seems to be the only matchup the Knicks have against Giannis. He has played like the player people thought he would be coming out of Indiana. Vonleh also just put up 36 points on Christmas day against the same Bucks team he is playing tonight. Low cost for a solid matchup.

C: Ivica Zubac, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,400)

This pick could change depending on the health of Javale McGee, no matter what Zubac has been very impressive when given time to play. Centers versus Kings are also always a solid play.

G: Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,500)

Ball is a similar play to Zubac. With Rondo out he will be the primary point guard. Again PG’s versus Kings is also a solid play on most nights.

F: Gordon Hayward, Boston Celtics ($4,700)

Not gonna lie this one is a wildcard pick against a poor Houston defense. Hayward has been streaky all season, but brings multiple potential options for points. Hayward has been consistent with 25 minutes per game and could have a couple of nice matchups in this one.

UTL: Nemanja Bjelica, Sacramento Kings ($4,800)

Bjelica is a solid player and the Kings will need to use their bench playing back to back games.

I will look to make changes based on injuries. Also may look to stack more Kings/Lakers players. Want to stick with Durant and Curry as my star plays.

Draftkings Picks December 10

December 10 2018- DFS Draftkings pick.

11 game slates make for multiple options, there are three games on the slate that have caught my attention. Let’s make some decisions.

PG: DeAron Fox, Sacramento Kings ($7,600)

Fox has seen an increase in salary over the last few weeks.  But with the lowly Bulls on the slate this game should be full of offense. Fox will have a great opportunity for high upside.  The Bulls rank bottom ten against point guards this season.  Fox can go off for 50 any night, tonight could be one of those.

SG: Bogdan Bogdanovic, Sacramento Kings ($6,300)

Let’s continue the stack of Kings against the Bulls.  Bogdanovic has hit above 25 for six straight games.  He is also blow out prove as he doesn’t sit usually start.

SF: Trey Lyles, Denver Nuggets ($3,700)

With the injury to Millsap, Lyles saw a huge up in minutes.  This play is mainly a price play for a guy that looks to play at least 30 minutes tonight.  The matchup with Memphis is not ideal, but a player playing a that many minutes at $3,700 is always worth a shot.

PF: Marvin Bagley, Sacramento Kings ($4,700)

Bagley is questionable tonight but if he plays he can be another asset at an affordable cost. Bagley is a double double machine in a pace up spot. Play him if he is able to play.

C: Karl Anthony-Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves ($9,200)

The return of Draymond green could make for a fun matchup for Towns.  Towns will bring a large amount of offense to this game.  With the questionable status of Anthony Davis, Towns seems like an easy play.

G: Colin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers ($4,900)

No George Hill means more time for Sexton.  Lots of minutes against coming for a point guard with few options behind him.

F: Otto Porter Jr., Washington Wizards ($6,100)

No John Wall tonight opens up more points for secondary players. Otto Porter will be the recipient of those points against a Pacers team that seem like a bad matchup.  Porter will bring multiple value spots.

UTL: Zach Lavine, Chicago Bulls ($7,400)

Potentially the play of the night.  Lavine has a chance to flourish in potentially the biggest game stack of the night.  Lavine has more options to work with after the return of Lauri Markkanen.  Lavine will not have a player to match him on the defensive end.  Lavine should net close to 50 tonight while his price continues to drop.

Good luck tonight!

I Talk Sports DFS Picks Oct. 29

The NBA has a nine game slate tonight marred by injury.  No Giannis, Kawhi, potentially no AD makes this slate a little tougher to pick.  It’s up to us to find the mid- level players that can make up for the loss of the bigger studs.  Who is going to step up for these teams and put up the big points.  This is the lineup I am looking into.

*all DFS games are played on Draftkings

PG: Goran Dragic, Miami Heat ($6,200)

Dragic and the Heat have a matchup with the hapless Sacramento Kings.  Dragic brings multiple skills into this game with the injuries that the Heat continue to have Dragic is the one consistent player the Heat can rely on.

SG: Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors ($5,600)

When Klay is this low you have to buy in, especially against the Bulls.

SF: Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks ($6,900)

No Giannis and no Kawhi in this game.  Middleton will be the go to scorer for the Bucks, while also not having to deal the the Leonard defense.

PF: Kelly Olynyk, Miami Heat ($4,900)

Olynyk is a boom or bust player.  Kings defense stinks so tonight should be a better chance of a boom.

C: Jarrett Allen, Brooklyn Nets ($5,400)

Very big chance of a double double tonight.

G: Kyle Lowry, Toronto Raptors ($8,000)

Lowry without Kawhi becomes the best option on offense for the Raptors.

F: Demar Derozan, San Antonio Spurs ($9,100)

Demar Derozan has been great early in his tenure with the Spurs.  A matchup with the Mavericks is great for any player with skills like Derozan.  Rim protector Deandre Jordan will be busy dealing with Lamarcus Aldridge.

UTIL: Zach Collins, Portland Trailblazers ($3,900)

Zach Collins seems to play better on the road averaging 15PPG on the road compared to just 8 at home.  The Blazers have a tough matchup with the Pacers but Collins should get some run in this game.

Good Luck Tonight!

 

 

 

 

NBA DFS- October 22

October 22 2018- DFS Plays Draftkings

PG: Malcom Brogdon, Milwaukee Bucks ($5,200)

SG: Josh Hart, Los Angeles Lakers ($5,100)

SF: Demar Derozan, San Antonio Spurs ($7,400)

PF: Jaren Jackson Jr., Memphis Grizzlies ($5,200)

C: Myles Turner, Indiana Pacers ($6,000)

G: Jimmy Butler, Minnesota Timberwolves ($8,000)

F: Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics ($7,500)

UTL: Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors ($5,600)

Good luck tonight!

I Talk Sports DFS Picks: Opening Night NBA

The NBA is back opening with a two game slate.  The Celtics taking on the Sixers and the Warriors vs Thunder.  Love a two game slate.  Was able to win big last year on opening night.  Heres my favorite lineup tonight.

PG: Kyrie Irving, Boston Celtics ($7,600)

SG: Raymond Felton, Oklahoms City Thunder ($3,700)

SF: Paul George, Oklahoma City Thunder ($8,000)

PF: Dario Saric, Philadelphia 76ers ($5,500)

C: Joel Embid, Philadelphia 76ers ($8,800)

G: Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors ($8,600)

F: Kevon Looney, Golden State Warriors ($3,600)

Utl: Marcus Morris, Boston Celtics ($4,200)

This is one of three lineups I will be playing tonight.  This lineup being the one I have put the most money into. With Westbrook most likely out tonight Dennis Schroder will be looking at big minutes but I think the veteran Raymond Felton could see just enough to create value.  If Felton and Kevon Looney can give us any return on our value this can lead to some cash for tonights lineup.

Being a two game slate you have to have those wildcards work out for you because you know players like Joel Embid and Kevin Durant will be very popular.  Steph Curry and Kyrie both have a flare for the dramatics and opening night should be an exciting event.

Good luck tonight!

MLB DFS Lineup- Sept 18

Haven’t posted a DFS Lineup in awhile, but I like a few matchups tonight that I think can be exploited.  May make a few changes once official Lineups come out.  All prices are based off of Draftkings.

P: Jake Odorizzi vs Detroit  ($8,000)

P: Joey Lucchessi vs San Francisco ($7,600)

C: Danny Jansen, Toronto Blue Jays ($3,600)

1B: Ji-Man Choi, Tampa Bay Rays ($4,500)

2B: Joey Wendle, Tampa Bay Rays ($4,200)

3B: Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds ($4,400)

SS: Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians ($5,500)

OF: Lorenzo Cain, Milwaukee Brewers ($4,500)

OF: Kiki Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,900)

OF: Billy Mckinney, Toronto Blue Jays ($3,700)

I like the matchup of Lucchessi vs a depleted Giants lineup.  He has had success against them along with some serious strikeout potential.  Teaming him up with Jake Odorizzi could be great low level cost pitchers allowing you to grab some bigger bats.

The bigger bats I went with wer Francisco Lindor, Lorenzo Cain and Ji Man Choi.  Choi has been crushing the ball especially vs righties this season.  The Rays should be a popular stack playing in Texas and facing the explodable Yovanni Gallardo.

Good luck!

DFS Picks Day Slate

I Talk Sports DFS Lineup (Day Slate) September 12 2018-

P: Carlos Carrasco, Ross Stripling

C: Martin Maldonado, Astros

1B: Edwin Encarnacion, Indians

2B: Brian Dozier, Dodgers

3B: Matt Carpenter, Cardinals

SS: Alex Bregman, Astros

OF: Corey Dickerson, Pirates

OF: Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals

OF: Joc Pederson, Dodgers

Looking at the day slate you have multiple options at pitcher.  Carrasco has the best matchup at a more affordable price.  The Rays can be a tricky to understand at times but they strike out a lot.  Gerrit Cole is an obvious choice vs the Tigers but his cost will leave you will little to know room to stack some potentials stud hitters. Save yourself almost 2K  for some hitters.

For potential lineup stacks the obvious choice is the Astros going against Daniel Norris. The Astros middle of the order can feast of of Norris.  Alex Bregman and red hot Tyler White are potential bats that can bring you some power.  White was a little to pricey so I decided to go with the upside of a cheap Edwin Encarnacion.  I also like the Dodgers in a . must win spot against the pesky Reds and Anthony Desclafani.  Brian Dozier and Joc Pederson were affordable options that have homerun potential in Great American SmallPark.

August 24- Affordable 5 MLB DraftKings

I Talk Sports DFS Affordable 5- August 24- Draftkings

Eduardo Escobar, SS/3B, Arizona Diamondbacks ($4,900)

The Arizona Diamondbacks will have a matchup with the struggling Erasmo Ramirez.  Ramirez has been crushed by lefties in his 4 starts in 2018, lefties are crushing .341BA, .795 slugging percentage.  Escobar has 15 of his 18 homers as a left handed batter this season.  This matchup screams extra base hits.  Arizona lefties will be a huge play on today’s slate.  With Escobar you can get great value at $4,900 with multiple position potential.

Dallas Keuchel, P, Houston Astros ($9,200)

Dallas Keuchel was dominate is his last start vs. the Los Angeles Angels, going for 29.5 Draftkings points. Playing lefties vs the Angels is one of my favorite plays all season with a stat line of .226/.296/.373 during the season.  I was hesitant at first when I saw that Mike Trout was returning to the lineup up but, Keuchel sits nearly $600 less than the other starter I was interested in Rich Hill.  Go with Keuchel to save and most likely get the 4 points for a win.

Omar Narvaez, C, Chicago White Sox ($3,400)

Looking for value, Omar Narvaez of the White Sox has been one of my favorite part time plays over the last few weeks.  Narvaez is 5 for 7 in his career vs Tigers starter Michael Fulmer.  Fulmer has also had his trouble with lefties this year giving up a 5.31 ERA against them this year. 10 of 14 homers vs Fulmer this season have come against lefties.

Greg Allen, OF, Cleveland Indians ($3,800)

Greg Allen has emerged from lineup as a force.  Double digit Draftkings points in 3 of 4 games establishing himself in the Cleveland outfield.  Allen won’t bring you the power you may be looking for but his potential for stealing bases and scoring runs will be a huge asset for the Cleveland team with a high implied run total.  Grabbing a player at $3,800 with the potential upside of Allen can put you in the money.

Jake Bauers, 1B/OF, Tampa Bay Rays ($3,600)

Bauers has a .208 ISO vs righties this season.  Coming off a 14 point night he can be a valuable low cost option in the outfield that can give you the opportunity to pay up for some higher priced studs. Bauers also feeds off of the home crowd with higher statistics in every category at Tropicana Field.  With Bauers in the middle of the Tampa Bay lineup he can will also have a higher chance to produce with runners on base.  Give Bauers a look especially sense outside of last night he has had some struggles, which means most likely low ownership.

Potential Team Stacks:

Washington vs. Jason Vargas

Cleveland Indians vs. Brad Keller

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Ryan Borucki

 

I Talk DFS Picks: August 6 MLB

Tons of potential tonight with multiple games projected for high run totals, here are the Power 5 DFS Picks for August 6th.

Nick Tropeano, Pitcher, Los Angeles Angels ($6,200)

Tropeano is by far not the biggest pitching stud on this slate but a matchup against the awful Detroit Tigers is one you should always keep an eye on, especially when they are facing a righty.

Tigers hitters bat 30 points lower against righties to go along with 30 points lower on the road. Tropeano’s low cost will allow you to pay up for bats with so many potentially explosive games on the slate you will need to have room for stacks.  Tropeano will face a projected 5 right-handed batters and four switch hitters, on the season righties are hitting just .215 against him. At just $6,200 the flexibility he brings is worth the risk.

Jose Martinez, 1B, St. Louis Cardinals ($4,000)

With injuries becoming a an issue for the St. Louis Cardinals Jose Martinez will be called upon as they head into Miami.  Dexter Fowler and Tyler O’Neil have recently been put on the disabled list allowing Martinez to benefit from the playing time.  Luckily for DFS players defense is not taken into consideration.

Martinez is projected in the middle of a St. Louis lineup that has been steady against lefties all season. Eight players in the St Louis lineup have at least a 108 wRC+ against LHP over the last calendar year with only cleanup hitter Marcell Ozuna (118 wRC+, .158 ISO) below a .200 ISO.  That’s some proficiency against a southpaw who has allowed a .350 wOBA to RHBs since the start of last season.  Martinez can supply the runs and hits that will make him worthy of the nod as your starting first baseman.

Whit Merrifield, 2B/OF, Kansas City Royals ($4,900)

Merrifield is the definition of on hot right now, hitting .479 over his last seven games.  Matching up with the surely popular Cole Hamels will set you apart from most players.  Merrifield has been a lefty masher all season with a .377 average and five of his seven homers.  Look for Merrifield to also give you a boost on the basepaths as Hamels has shown an inability to hold runners on this season.  The Royals currently have nothing to lose so why not let your players run free on the bases.

Evan Longoria, 3B, San Francisco Giants ($3,200)

In a time where Draftkings is making you pay top dollar for even the most modest of batters, Evan Longoria is still nicely priced for a hitter that has been streaking.  Going for over 8 points in five straight games Longoria has the potential to bring lots of value at a low cost. Even with All- Star Charlie Morton on the mound sometimes you just can’t put out the flame of a hitter on fire.

Daniel Palka, OF, Chicago White Sox ($4,700)

Palka loves to hit fastballs.  Lance Lynn only throws fastballs.  This is a dangerous matchup for the veteran hurler.  Palka also loves himself some home cooking, hitting .278 at US Cellular Field nearly 70 points higher then he does on the road.  Look for Palka to try and jump on Lynn early.  I am calling a home run tonight and potentially a dominant night from the young White Sox Hitters.

 

Stackable Teams:

Seattle Mariners

Colorado Rockies

Cleveland Indians

 

 

 

I Talk Sports DFS Picks Aug. 2nd (Night Slate)

With a nine game slate upon us in DFS I wanted to pass along my plays for tonight August 2nd 2018. All prices based on Draft Kings.

Pitcher- Mike Foltynewicz, Atlanta Braves ($10,500)

Most people will be drawn to known aces Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer.  But with matchups against much better offenses I wanted to go with a much lesser known All-Star pitcher.  Mike Foltynewicz has established himself at the top of the rotation starter.  Playing in New York against a team that has been underwhelming to say the least should give Foltynewicz a better matchup to get him on track post All Star break.

In two post All Star break starts thus far Foltynewicz has struggled playing much higher level offenses of the Nationals and the Dodgers.  Mike’s last start against a much more inspired Mets team on June 12th he was able to score 21.5 DK points.  While you are paying a steep price at $10,500 I believe you will see a big upside and can save yourself over $1,000 when compared to the two previously mentioned aces.

SS/3B- Tim Beckham, Baltimore Orioles ($3,800)

Former prized draft pick Tim Beckham recently made a list of top 20 draft busts over the last ten years.  With star Manny Machado in LA Beckham will see an increased role with the Orioles and I believe increased production.  This Orioles/Rangers game looks and feels very stackable. Beckham stands out to me due to his mid-level cost and power/speed potential. Beckham’s is 3/4 in his career versus Yovanni Gallardo, while that is a small sample size I really like the exit velocity of 95.8MPH in those at bats.  Not only did he hit Yovanni, those balls were destroyed.

SS/3B- Johan Carmago, Atlanta Braves ($4,100)

Carmago has been a big part of my DFS lineups this year, especially against lefties.  The Braves showed that they are committed to Carmago at third base for the rest of the season by not making a move at the trade deadline.  The matchup tonight vs Jason Vargas intrigues me.  Carmago has shown great power against lefties slugging a ridiculous 200 points higher as a right handed batter.  Vargas has also been a dumpster fire the entire season, there is no reason to think that is going to change.  With Draftkings prices as high as they are playing a guy with major power upside and a low price is a need.

OF- Shin-Soo Choo, Texas Rangers ($4,900)

The resurrection of Shin-Soo Choo is in full force in 2018, until the last 15 games.  A matchup with Andrew Cashner is always a way to break a slump . Choo hits 60 points higher against righties as well as 15 point higher at home.  Choo will have his chances during this game projecting to bat second.  This game will be one that many pick on with the highest projected run total on the slate.  I expected Choo to be a cornerstone in my lineup.  I see a potential home run from him tonight.

1B- Justin Smoak, Toronto Blue Jays ($4,100)

First base has its obvious choices.  Paul Goldschmidt should be popular tonight, Joey Votto actually has some great career numbers versus Max Scherzer, Justin Bour versus a struggling Nick Pivetta is also intriguing.  I am looking at Justin Smoak against the pitcher formally known as King Felix.  Smoak is 6 for 10 in his career against Felix with a 95.2MPH exit velocity. He hits Felix very hard and consistently. Even though Smoak has not had the season he had in 2017 he has still been consistent with his power holding a season long ISO of .223.

Smoak’s price tag will allow you to make moves on some of the beast of the night like Mookie Betts and JD Martinez.

Stacks

Rangers

Braves

Secondary Pitchers

Mike Montgomery- Cubs

Felix Hernandez- Mariners